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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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. Q/ ]( M5 x" Z5 `
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。" j, [) r) ~: j" Z! q
6 {( d% _) G! @+ L( ]2 @* J' J这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。9 y& p; h; F4 @9 _$ G7 \8 [* J5 }
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为什么？
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
0 }5 D% E/ \" s* j/ E2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。5 k! A' \) q& E, { u; x
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。2 i* v7 ~# d+ P; f8 V9 q ~: w
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
1 R& r6 T3 S' u. g7 s3 E 第一把输，你没有了。
7 K, S" x* ^/ \, r4 T 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。5 O5 Z4 k L& e+ e1 r: A$ F
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。+ r7 ]8 z9 K6 d) \; k0 A. a
…………无限下去。
! ]) R$ E& Z1 _3 ~& E3 F" ~清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
' p: [1 j. m$ R- w3 B! q. A- R; ?) [, a* W9 J
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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. M% i* e" i* p* J" K这就是总是输的原因。。- ?* q4 I7 U. P5 L9 n& r
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？+ Z1 w8 s: W$ i+ }. J3 a
' _# q! t5 t! `) V8 d1、我觉得可以打偏差。5 C. [% a7 o- q% }
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
0 ]- ^; r* Z2 G& Q( q" u# y3 d# ~1 P4 h+ n) A! l
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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& K' \5 V: p: v1 d& @- {. a人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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