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[lastpost] => 2764210 首个挖矿即赚Meme币PepeNode预售已筹90万美金 距离本轮融资结束仅剩 7 小时-转 1757488559 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
4 I5 D- R. a- W) `7 {( ]! Y0 AAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。0 T/ |2 A8 v# Z
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
4 A! d G; k1 t* p( P# b, ]你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
4 Y J( Y$ ^* j4 C5 P4 o从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
. a% Y1 o3 q1 j7 z- |9 K9 \alt/btc/ n/ d6 M9 M0 D" a* k
alt/usdt( j8 k& O/ p1 Z6 P+ q
那么，发生了什么？
% `- g' E2 ^5 A0 y6 ~& O; R6 R1. 大户轮换资金3 d4 O. `, l/ h/ D9 I$ O( ^% q
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。! L! G" P: y% g
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
9 L$ @+ G% N3 g) v: s但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
0 C/ i t2 U0 q# q* V2. 市场的防御心理4 R0 f5 T: Q+ q0 b- h* {
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。. @$ n* M: v( S8 Q) S$ W
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
( O( e6 B8 u. c' l3. 需要关注的信号
; y' T6 r5 l- D, rBTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。) n3 y: w+ z0 s
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
) @) q8 _3 e8 p6 _$ s h* xUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。/ }& B0 I2 y7 ] x9 Q4 ?
4. 对投资者的意义
% m5 Y( {* E3 x& q3 z9 Z, V" e6 ^在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。- }$ p+ s- m. S" h# G
如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
. `& W4 B' E* L! p1 |' T安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
* G3 Y; C5 ^3 A3 ^3 |* f7 A结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。) a. G% o. W/ M D0 y: A
#加密货币#1 e- g! ~* S( d9 N6 W5 a
6 M* t8 @& u0 u
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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