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高盛预期三次降息将至，加密市场将迎来破局还是困局？（转）
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高盛表示2025年剩下时间内美联储将进行三次降息，这似乎是加密货币的好时机。借贷成本降低可能意味着比特币和以太坊等数字资产将获得更多关注。但事情并非一帆风顺。监管审查的加强和市场) u; m+ ]7 |2 @" d
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波动的可能性可能会让情况变得复杂。
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高盛的预测相当大胆。显然，美联储将在2025年12月之前降息三次。这将是一个重大转变，尤其是各国央行已开始对经济增长放缓和通胀缓解的迹象做出回应。降息可能会让更多人关注加密货币，8 B3 W; N5 x, j: | F9 |# H$ K
7 Z$ Z& |6 Q" U8 z尤其是在企业开始用数字货币支付工资的背景下。“大辞职潮”已经表明，员工对加密货币薪酬的工作更感兴趣，而随着借贷成本下降，这一趋势很可能持续增长。7 m3 k. [- T1 w( q2 u. P
3 Z. q* i7 m6 }3 \$ Q4 O 从历史来看，加密货币市场在货币宽松期通常会上涨。降息意味着持有投机性资产的成本降低，这使得加密货币更具吸引力。比特币往往在美联储释放鸽派信号后反弹，而高盛预测的三次降息可能
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4 e' E9 t% h$ Y% h8 n9 t* C6 Z) H& q为2026年的大反弹铺平道路。但仍需警惕监管审查的加强，这可能会让情况复杂化。; g3 N) G. B. a+ h3 S
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随着加密货币市场的发展，合规性将变得更加重要。欧盟的《加密资产市场（MiCA）框架》已经实施了严格的透明度和运营监督要求，这对小型企业来说可能难以应对。监管合规的复杂性和加密货币2 J1 }$ a8 W W5 \$ r; ]
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的波动性给考虑采用加密货币支付薪酬的企业带来了挑战。它们需要通过一系列努力来确保合规并避免法律纠纷。0 ?6 G" P6 t) K0 R
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即将到来的降息也可能导致市场波动加剧，因为投资者会对不断变化的经济形势做出反应。为了应对这一点，分散投资到比特币之外可能是明智之举。0 |; N9 p- U+ n! O! \% V
% M/ y( I1 _. G: [! _9 `% }5 p 稳定币似乎是企业规避加密货币薪资波动风险的热门选择。随着加密货币薪酬的普及，了解稳定币的采用将成为驾驭数字经济时代薪酬未来的关键。
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简而言之，高盛预测的降息可能会为加密货币投资创造更有利的环境，尤其是在企业考虑采用加密货币等薪酬解决方案的背景下。但监管审查绝对是值得警惕的因素。展望2025年，货币政策与加密货
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币之间的关系将在塑造数字资产的未来中起到关键作用。0 Q) P2 s! }/ Z4 }* c
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