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[lastpost] => 2768312 金价创高却引发卖金潮,比特币会是下一个避险港湾? 1758779977 rainwang
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当前离线
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黄金今年表现十分亮眼,在包括比特币在内的一众主要资产中脱颖而出。然而,风光的不止是黄金,其他贵金属——白银(44.11, -0.50, -1.11%)、铂金和钯金——也同样大幅上涨,表现都超过了比特币。
2 y6 P/ t7 e, ^" B8 a' a* }9 y0 l0 C+ }0 V( T3 s+ I
5 w3 V9 F4 b: e4 R( O% ^ 根据TradingView数据,黄金价(3787.74, -27.96, -0.73%)格今年已飙升44%,创下每盎司3784美元的历史纪录;白银则上涨了53%,至每盎司44.32美元;铂金上涨了60%,至每盎司1452美元,而钯金
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也上涨了33%,至每盎司1207美元。
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与此同时,常被称为“数字黄金”的比特币却未能跟上贵金属的步伐,今年仅上涨逾20%,至11.3万美元。2 _- F- z# k$ g% Q0 W
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从今年迄今的表现来看,结论非常明确:在发达经济体财政前景恶化、美联储独立性面临更大威胁以及美国总统特朗普重启贸易战的背景下,以黄金为首的贵金属依然是投资者首选的避险与抗通胀工具。# d4 ?) r8 w0 d3 b
& l: } D' o r, ~8 u6 \7 k 此外,各国央行增持黄金的多元化策略,为黄金及其贵金属伙伴带来了强劲的顺风。欧洲央行的一项研究显示,全球央行黄金储备总量约达3.6万吨。2 ]' e' d n2 C! ]( H
6 K5 p3 k; W* e 自新冠疫情爆发以来,各国央行的购金热潮就已启动,并在2022年俄乌冲突爆发后进一步加速,这两件大事件都加剧了全球经济的通胀压力。
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0 \: z! g2 G u$ @ 过去三年,全球央行每年增持黄金超过1000吨,创下纪录,这一速度是前十年平均水平的两倍多。- o* n$ N6 x8 @$ E c4 X8 E" h
) d' Z6 W: f) a! y 相比之下,比特币至今仍未进入央行资产负债表,限制了其作为储备资产的角色。* @) \5 W7 t; B' m
, x# _ j1 m6 ?) h4 y% K' K8 ? 此外,有消息称,随着比特币价格超过11万美元,一些早期钱包持续抛售或分发比特币,也抑制了其涨幅,这些抛售据称抵消了ETF(交易所交易基金)的资金流入。
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/ A, |) T" X9 `+ Z: e5 i# P! k0 V 值得一提的是,德意志银行周一发布报告称,虽然黄金和加密货币在短期内走势迥异,但两者未来几年有望并肩发展。
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德银表示,到2030年,央行资产负债表上可能同时出现黄金和比特币的身影。
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黄金这波真猛,把“数字黄金”都比下去了。
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