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[虚拟币交流]
从比特币到以太坊：一位鲸鱼的 26 亿美元豪赌如何震撼市场（转）
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接受者买入量和 CME 未平仓合约的上升支撑了以太坊，而比特币的未平仓合约持平表明势头正在减弱。. W+ W. ?! `! R: z# V" P5 l, e
( }5 b5 g3 n3 D% q' @' V本周，一家大型加密货币巨头实施了近几个月来最大的投资组合转移之一，成为头条新闻。3 x9 ]% `* b- i. S2 ^7 Y n/ L
+ m0 C$ R$ e7 O6 s9 C: j根据 Lookonchain，投资者抛售约 22,769比特币[BTC]在 Hyperliquid 上持有价值 25.9 亿美元的 ETH，然后买入 472,920 ETH（22.2 亿美元）现货，并开立 135,265 ETH（5.77 亿美元）多头。. }/ W5 K: O3 i) d$ _3 r5 X: n5 ?+ |
. N) T" Z7 U% S3 Y此举的规模已使市场注意力转向以太坊[ETH]这引发了一个问题：第二大加密货币是否即将在短期内超越比特币。2 x: p6 n& i+ p' x1 s5 T
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解读鲸鱼行为的字里行间, {. B1 I2 O* N+ G {7 w
大型参与者并不总是能正确预测市场，但他们往往行动坚定。事实上，鲸鱼对 ETH 的轮换反映了各交易所 Taker 买入量的明显上升。
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/ D, ?4 P% @( Y) h& o5 B2 u从 7 月底的 82 亿美元基线到 8 月中旬超过 200 亿美元的多次 [飙升]，买家始终表现出积极提高报价的意愿。
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从历史上看，接受者买入量的激增往往先于短期反弹，因为这反映出市场参与者渴望支付更高的价格，而不是被动等待。
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自然，这种积极的姿态会为上涨势头增添动力，并可以作为市场情绪转变的早期信号。
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C) `: T! O% e, P为什么是以太坊而不是比特币？* {5 z/ z: e$ \7 Z ]* I7 |
机构资金流动也支持了这一观点。芝商所 (CME) 的 ETH 期货未平仓合约一直在攀升，这表明尽管散户参与度有所滞后，但专业交易员的参与度仍在不断提升。( B8 ?9 ?+ ~- R, w' ]
5 z+ H9 T2 Q# R0 Q5 E B) Q4 n话虽如此，比特币看起来有些疲软。BTC 未平仓合约持平，近期价格走势与以太坊的势头相比缺乏说服力。BTC 虽然没有崩盘，但似乎正在盘整。# }) O0 y! T: e7 {: F0 u
: E$ A5 e% M* ?/ Z' ?最重要的是，对于管理数十亿资产的巨鲸和其他投资者来说，这足以成为轮换资本的理由。
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更大的图景
- k# p: d ?" V* D' v ?9 V! O这是以太坊真正摆脱比特币阴影的开始吗？ 现在说还为时过早。
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然而，鲸鱼信心、机构活动和看涨技术信号的结合使 ETH 在当前市场动态中占据优势。1 h/ W% h8 H" ~$ n2 I
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如果势头保持下去，以太坊可能会继续领先，而比特币则会进行整合，同时市场将测试 ETH 能走多远。
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