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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲 4 ~, E$ Z4 j9 N+ X; \. O
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( |: {3 b9 b4 y  x3 X只跟踪一个联赛4 n& Y7 ^3 z' e- g$ o8 C

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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔' [- [/ J' O2 i

0 y0 v8 d; ~' ^: Y5 v% P. y! |0 D三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，
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偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。
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* `( d: M. l, I5 h方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）
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然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，0 D* O' Z$ y4 W# w, @* b2 N
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱
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当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目; A" y" w# m2 x0 R8 n& [
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亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，: N# G4 A, N7 @  l8 O2 c9 d# J

4 z2 b: L; U( c( {而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，
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但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。& h0 @! k4 _& }; b
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理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。) l" B8 T0 V, D0 V: T. E

1 n8 ]4 X( X' ~8 e6 H6 v( e$ L排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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顶起再慢慢看

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以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，/ P" s$ ]4 k3 S, v% P# [) F
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但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，/ I# u7 G' k& z  }. k
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这比买国债存银行合算。0 t9 z3 {7 Q  f. S$ j
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在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，; v- j4 m! G; V0 i7 Q  e' C
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几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。
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# r- B  f; a3 J常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。
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放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，
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就是回避了大的亏损，/ J+ j, Z) ^+ F5 u* V
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大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，
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回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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