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[lastpost] => 2811367 纳斯达克进军预测市场：华尔街用「是或否」押注科技指数（转） 1772626207 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。) S' l- `' l' u, |& P! Q
: z- K% q0 r& s" z; w+ W8 a过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
" Q# c& G2 N* n( O; X1 E6 p链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当8 Y' O- ?( Q7 T3 |5 p, k% A
; z1 E/ I5 s* v1 }5 w天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场/ p; ~/ p2 f( G+ u
7 R# E- C$ X1 D; R
处于健康的看涨状态。
+ U/ S% f5 x* b' d7 J7 q* q
5 f2 `0 V4 G, xAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬: S: h, S( ~9 N
/ _0 d4 r; l3 j; G: b# n- @短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
2 ~! L4 ~, v7 f8 `% \* r& d
4 `% c/ g6 X+ H) E获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。; f& O- u( E, E; v% U# m
0 l( O1 t( f& Q' `' G* D
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
, K+ ]/ x9 f$ B; S) S
. [1 e; v' k3 w) y: r7 ACoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提! f, Z2 W; y1 |) e: Q. F( L
* M1 M U1 t9 y* a+ p+ ^
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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5 g- S) }5 l7 g) Q/ u+ P8 `其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较; y/ _( J: `0 y
3 Z7 ]6 k5 i$ B* H/ C" K低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强( s9 S4 V% B+ j- U7 h
& V" W/ _4 p8 m: o
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。1 B4 L5 @6 C2 B" b
( z$ e9 s G- e, @" Y然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
+ `8 Y% E2 x1 k6 @9 z1 x
0 o2 R. }/ L" \/ x申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
& E/ ]4 O8 y, g4 J. C }+ M* J% h a$ S! P4 J
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
' n! C1 M# l. X \8 m: N0 K
7 t. n) q Z/ |& nNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
+ q. D# g" }- e* ~
8 U9 e! G# h3 w% s! w绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
4 B1 S7 ~$ p; p. _
4 Z6 A( z$ B. {4 D9 B继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
, M' N% l/ R' y) G! T4 t$ G% u b# X% L+ R9 A0 _9 w9 g4 [
# [6 @6 C7 g9 h+ s9 m1 _$ U因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
. M {5 A8 ?, M1 i9 J) e) k2 B& q f5 u! F/ N$ |7 P0 P
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。+ j5 z& J8 i; @+ i. v8 ^2 w( p
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