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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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1#
以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲 & ?* w/ T4 A2 }) {, F( h
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只跟踪一个联赛2 @1 ~9 |- j0 {5 ?+ U

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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔
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& t" z& D+ @# s0 `三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，
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偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。
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  E; a7 _# _! o2 ?方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）
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然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，  a  ]- v0 {# a6 L5 {
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱
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0 G' k- ~9 u4 S2 M5 _' u当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目
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0 q/ S. q" v5 y9 U5 k0 z& u4 i& ]亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，4 `2 d) G  k$ T* m6 E' T5 A2 }- [

5 u  C# |5 u/ `. Z, w4 c但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。
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4 R1 M1 i1 g7 D( p  n" s1 g2 `理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。
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排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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2#
以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，* w# ~4 E9 F! |5 ]0 j& z

& s- T. q' t, E, ~# B但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，
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这比买国债存银行合算。
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6 [0 l* y0 e) Q* B" E* t( e  h在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，
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, Q, @. @- N  ~6 |1 x) `# n几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。
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1 q- }" y7 h5 \. U5 Z0 b& H' p6 |) J) M3 l' Q% ]! F
常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。5 f0 H# G2 ^7 g) Z/ g! r- B' E& b/ Y

, x; d! m; A- ]. n" S放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，- J2 a' P7 F) m, Z# t* W
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就是回避了大的亏损，
  H- b* `  T1 b2 ?$ X( W
5 v8 _2 K' ]- n/ U1 O& V7 Y$ S6 q大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，4 N) e  T6 ^9 r5 e) C+ R3 [

1 {) Z/ n6 L2 z! k  o回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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3#
学习一下，天天进步

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4#
顶起再慢慢看

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