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[lastpost] => 2798097 卡尔达诺(Cardano)价格逼近0.40美元，面临巨大抛售压力（转） 1768661867 小钱儿
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 # M! d1 Z I8 W+ D& P
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
: y+ U% v- K9 A% H2 ?此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 5 L6 q4 J, ^& J3 {
以太坊基金集体亏损 . ^) f( `# }% j4 j
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 7 g. R9 r8 \* L/ Y/ Z! {
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。 - {% `" z1 V2 k
与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
8 [% w+ T' }! ?. E
+ n4 P5 X4 x+ C3 I7 z4 }
编辑切换为居中
7 s( U- `2 F6 m3 V流入/流出加密资金(按资产) ) X1 j4 a, B4 s/ j0 z) b: e
这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。
- O9 Z; T7 E$ l! c4 a, F' j2 }以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
' F$ s6 e& V* s/ k
3 z! |0 F! ]) `4 E! B( ~编辑切换为居中 : P/ I8 ^. a) f! n: H, z
6月5日的TVL以太坊 ) N! m# q& [5 Q+ n2 ^0 W) R
但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 8 o$ W. Y& n7 D+ b. }( A
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 # y% G1 i) m. _- u7 ^
男性讲述金融时报:
5 ^1 Q8 |- g( Z; n/ H+ A“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
7 o& ~0 r2 J: [6 N呆滞的技术面 H% j! b& D* N6 u3 B
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
+ ?9 h; |) M# M( u具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
7 I3 i" M" n8 q根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 7 |% O/ ?2 w0 h! `9 Z+ q2 P
- ?; _1 b Z$ r4 V编辑切换为居中
, M8 U P% l9 q/ A8 QETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 ( ^7 n( \" \6 D
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
/ e! T+ X) G( K* m" u& k, N5 O: z交易所的ETH储备正在增加 / o! W }: ^# K) X! h1 ]$ |
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出. * P7 }2 P$ L# \
自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 4 M" W B; ]/ Q
; ~1 z+ e) F( _! ^* ^! V4 G: b0 ]1 v/ z3 d
编辑切换为居中 # V7 Q( S$ F0 [- n
以太坊外汇储备
! c) M1 \, Y3 j5 w1 Q9 x6 k通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
% x, F: ?9 _5 i来源：金色财经 |
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