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[lastpost] => 2800754 比特币下跌，加密货币股票承压，投资者加倍押注—这意味着什么？（转） 1769569919 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。2 ~& _9 h! o- `( x j
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
7 J' s1 Q: p1 l' C6 _, O比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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1 j# G! w( ^8 Q! z# M" K; x6 C! a尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
7 l1 e% j4 G3 m: ^鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。3 v& [$ _4 w/ s: G8 o
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。' I9 |5 u) b2 n# l% d1 }
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 + f" |6 ?8 V" c3 t
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。7 y. @: { T" }
9 Q4 X* x5 w/ u估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突# h. q2 V) K/ {' z! V4 V* k5 _
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。0 o) N0 |) ]9 s9 T. ^# \0 X
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 ( ?3 i4 v4 @' C8 @2 H+ c2 s
! n/ d* ?1 j; c7 e& }1 {7 i相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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- H3 o; G* a' k" R- i0 w此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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& D5 W; q! ? D( u1 n如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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2 H* S% r$ r. \结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。2 e% D8 _( V: q4 T
* f# W) s" O" z$ KBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？+ U7 Z' A9 ^8 l y
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 9 H) D% Y( V7 ^( _
, X$ S% `9 b! c5 v; X5 k但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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