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[lastpost] => 2802885 比特币从低点反弹7%，但加密货币在美国贸易中仍面临压力。（转） 1770052481 人生如赌
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。$ n! b. L- E5 N, x- T2 v0 T" B8 j
& p" G5 |3 R6 f/ }/ x( mBTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日
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' r+ ^" D% p n+ u9 T; g" _( q同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。, B# L/ t) q4 r1 c
2 P% f) b) q& [4 s3 T2 |/ _# S低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？
' B; T; v' l. |; v/ [低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。3 Q E* O- D5 j( X5 z: p
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结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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R9 }! ?- p( N( I因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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5 X1 B/ f0 H2 B3 _# C# n7 X* B取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。8 f7 g% ^8 `2 n- {
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保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动
2 O& K1 D) ~3 d& b: _2 D总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。
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- h* [2 S' f5 S/ i% b& \# P去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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* [0 ^4 C7 X A/ u) Q总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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