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[lastpost] => 2803444 预告:美国1月ADP就业人数将于今晚21:15公布 1770314317 垂钓园
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7390 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
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STH已记录了70亿美元已实现的损失,这是本周期中最多的
/ y! q: i7 p% y6 ^( |比特币价格仍在关键的移动平均值下,短期持有人行为对近期趋势方向至关重要) h& B4 t7 _% q$ F, {3 g1 Z5 @4 g
短期比特币[BTC]持有人会感觉到热量是未实现的损失安装,这标志着这个市场周期中的关键拐点。但是,尽管有所有压力,历史表明这可能是更广泛的牛趋势中的自然冷却阶段。
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, m, W7 j5 M! |+ @: }6 @6 d( }比特币损失爬升,但保持在历史范围内& m3 R* u2 i8 g6 f( N& p/ K8 O+ I
实际上,来自玻璃节点显示短期持有人[STH]的相对未实现的损失可能接近+2标准偏差水平 - 这是与峰值遇险有关的阈值。- x8 m6 Z! Q2 k& {& v$ H1 b
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然而,它们仍然保持在牛市中通常看到的上限范围内,尚未违反投降领域。
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STH痛苦的新闻时间水平似乎也是值得注意的,在过去的30天中,已实现的损失超过70亿美元。
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& ]! @2 B' N' r$ R5 y, `* _尽管这一数字是当前周期中最高的损失事件,但在2021年5月和2022年6月的重大逐渐减值期间,它显着低于惊人的198亿美元和207亿美元的损失。8 ] I7 Y0 {; [) O% y2 J
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这意味着,尽管损失一直在增加,但许多投资者仍在极端投降之前退出。换句话说,短期持有人可能会陷入适度的损失,而不是忍受更深层的缩减,这可能是更广泛的市场实力的可能迹象。
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6 A$ z/ v T& U2 r5 f% P0 X: X比特币价格结构和风险区域
8 f% P/ H! u4 T发稿时,比特币的交易价格为84,322美元,加密货币徘徊在其50天的搬家平均水平低于85,141美元以下,远低于200天移动平均线,为95,174美元。
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# M0 X% ?6 U& N$ X/ W这些水平形成关键阻力区,并可能继续抑制向上的动量。尤其是如果短期持有人的情绪仍然弱。" Y) T- r3 d% d9 \1 A2 U
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布林乐队还强调了一个紧缩范围,暗示可能突破了。
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但是,由于短期持有人在压力下,除非新需求进入市场,否则偏见可能会倾斜看跌。
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这对比特币趋势意味着什么9 [7 K+ T* s0 @3 A3 R. T
未实现的损失和已实现的损失的结合表明风险升高,特别是对于那些持有的人比特币在最近的高点获得。但是,这些损失仍然存在于历史牛市模式之内,这表明尚未确认宏逆转。, S7 u; M, s* a
2 }' w5 r1 n1 G) `$ o* r如果BTC可以收回85,000美元的级别并将其倒入支持,则可以在STH中更新信心。相反,如果不持有83,000美元,可能会导致更多销售,同时测试较低的支撑量接近80,000美元。
4 Y! P0 A8 E( Y" t, I
, `( u# H% j O& Q. S总体而言,短期疼痛是显而易见的,但尚不极端。只要比特币的心理水平高于关键的心理水平和宏流程保持完整,这种校正就可以作为重置而不是逆转。; C4 j9 ?4 V: w$ f& f
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13684 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19641 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9073 小时
本月在线: 1 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3057 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10409 小时
本月在线: 9 小时
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