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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格分析：下一个$ 87,000作为BTC持有人拒绝出售（转）
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比特币以8万美元的关键水平找到了支持，促使看涨篮板。但是，200天的移动平均线现在是一种显着的阻力，这表明在短期内可能在$ 8.7万美元之间的合并阶段。, y, W/ f# |( _. f( ?! j* v. N% l
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技术分析" [4 P0 N5 P" _' Y" q3 J! I) |
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比特币在以75,000美元的关键$ 80K范围内找到强大的支持后，最近印刷了看涨的篮板。该地区历史上一直充当心理和技术层，RSI与价格之间的看涨差异证实了看跌势头的放缓，这表明了买家的兴趣。
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1 k! t' c3 t! p但是，目前的集会正接近关键的阻力水平，200天的移动平均值为8.7万美元。- l) Y0 L0 K3 g$ @' j% `/ N: Y
$ s) C3 Y2 ?0 w' `. W$ d0 e该MA充当动态阻力区，可以在短期内加油。结果，比特币可能会继续在$ 75K - $ 87K的范围内巩固，直到发生决定性突破为止。如果公牛队成功地推高200天的MA，那么下一个主要目标就在于心理上的$ 10万美元。在较低的时间范围内，比特币在下降通道的中线上发现了强有力的支持，引发了冲动[浪潮]，这是这些水平积累的潜在信号。现在，价格正在测试渠道的上限，接近$ 84K。
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在此趋势线上和以前的秋千高度上方的确认突破将使看跌结构无效，从而通向迈向$ 90K电阻区的道路。, ], Q& X& S1 F9 g
% S1 B& E, P U5 g6 l3 A相反，未能超出这一水平将加强当前的看跌市场结构，这可能导致中期下降压力。
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% H6 K+ U+ g2 a已实现的CAP UTXO年龄段（％）是一个强大的链度指标，它可以按照UTXOS的年龄（未解决的交易输出）破坏比特币，从而根据持有持续时间提供对投资者行为的见识。% K0 R5 L# H) Q! T! v& ?
+ V2 t9 ^, F/ z" R- G% s- [+ v根据最新数据，3-6个月零6-12个月的同伴所持有的硬币份额一直在稳步上升。这种上升密切反映了2024年夏天长时间校正期间看到的积累模式，反映了持有人的信念日益增加。
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这种行为表明了“ hodling”趋势，尽管市场进行了持续的纠正，但投资者仍将硬币保留下来，即使面对波动，也无法出售。随着越来越多的硬币移至长期持有人的手中，可用的循环供应收缩，增加了比特币的稀缺性。8 U* x' q6 ^5 e
1 B7 l' `% Q% p! \# A! c0 B从历史上看，这种供应限制在满足新需求的情况下，已经成为了强劲的价格集会的催化剂。这些动态通常为价格发现和新的历史最高点奠定了基础。9 F3 s3 g0 H$ D! j$ k) B) A
% c# }( J! X8 ~) W u* z; K% U因此，当前的链结构表明，持续的缩水不太可能是熊市的开始，而更有可能在更广泛的看涨周期内进行健康纠正。
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拉倒吧，这样的结论谁能做出来，只有持币的人自已才会 |
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