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1、百家乐任何一靴牌,都是没有必然性的,因为所有的概率形态累加起来是100%,其中有些概率大,有些概率小,因为总体加起来是1,所以只有大概率小概率之分,任何极小概率事件总会发生的,只要走的路多的,总会遇见鬼。所以那些宣扬每靴都赢的,不是骗子,就是钓鱼。赌场的赌台,有正EV,都不可能每靴赢,更不要说赌客。
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2、在固定局数中,在小样本空间中,概率表现为偏差,也就是运气,从时间轴上说,随道时间的推移,时好时坏,时不好不坏。# c2 z0 N* N2 ` v; w1 a: v" @: _
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3、从靴与靴之间状态来说,固定投注方式,也表现为运气,这靴好打,这靴不好打,这靴赢得多,这靴输了。这靴平平。1 j" k) L1 V C
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4、故而,运气的表现体现在时间,和空间两个层面上。(包括固定局数切割也是这样)
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5、投法不重要,赢利的方法肯定在于缆法,但却不知缆真正的用法。缆真正的作用是什么。: P1 _1 J2 |) U" P2 i
3 r' o. n* u5 Y+ z: }6、数学家为什么说赌徒必定破产,因为他们是建立的大数上的测试,而且,在调整注码上面,只是按照固定规则来研究,没有进行过深入的研究,只是认为注码小玩得长,生存的时间长,注码大,生存的时间短。
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7、振幅是无法控制的,任何固定不固定的投法,不管你怎么投,都会产生振幅,用资金去控制振幅,手心摸手背,办不到的事。; w0 d# m1 J [
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8、振幅表现为两种,第一种是连续输,就好比一下子掉进深渊,第二种,负多胜少,好比走进沼泽地,慢慢陷进去。在这两种情况下,你越挣扎,越惨。+ ~# i- A' I3 u4 l* X2 X; m
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9、振幅只能靠赢利来化解,至于之间的关系是什么不得而知,比如,大输之后,后面胜率肯定回归,但是具体不会知道胜在那一把,这时缆的作为就体现出来了。又比如,开局,胜率很高,知道接下去肯定要降低,在赢到一定数额之后,这靴就不打了,不去滥用运气!我知道我不是最幸运的,前面高了,后面又高,这种小概率事件不会发生在我身上的。每天钓到的鱼的数量不可能永远递增下去------dududu名言。
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5 {* ^. H9 M: y& X10、大家不要再去研究什么必胜缆,和投法了,对于运气的理解和把握,才是重中之重% Q% j& h( K5 X/ _
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11、最后,缆竟是什么,缆真正的作用是什么,那位高人可以回答我,感谢。
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一点点愚见,望斧正。, l- V3 d- c1 k+ b7 X6 \: k
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