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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字6 m$ ]% W- h' n* i- I1 S
| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
$ X3 E0 ~$ D" h* W, \德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
+ C) y* X. t w# ? R3 m玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。
, c; G0 Y Q1 v
1 s C, k- }1 {4 u( O- ~( x下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
% K, ^( t# I5 w& W
- }/ }; C; C% j& u D b5 Z k补牌总数/ B7 K6 s" P. n. N$ b0 N2 b/ l
Outs
! T; L5 m: n/ e$ a3 m3 T未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数
! O5 D& R; D! {0 y4 U) q9 |“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”* |1 _& ]% |) ^( J1 E3 o& Z, e* z5 H
5 h0 S q; e% }; P8 C8 Z" Y
成牌概率% d% m: [0 r$ b. w% S; H
Hand Odds5 W; A2 U$ U) ^ D' o3 J
形成一手特定牌型的概率; U+ y, v+ z0 m$ }
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”7 S# W; ~; o- [, D0 }- D. e) X. \
( l: a# g6 z9 ?# l; L+ {
总注概率
( P* W* ?" Z8 fPot Odds
2 k, w0 W. Q1 _2 b' A. y: [你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
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/ Q; [. E0 U& l7 t: o+ T下注概率
4 V0 k$ w: K9 iBet Odds, W, c/ u9 l3 e" B' k0 X
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率# c6 v F) a9 _- V
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利” \4 s- n8 v; e/ q
. `" S4 G9 w- ]; ]5 {
隐含概率
; \4 b8 _8 L2 h2 P4 \Implied Odds; y, P: E* G0 C* q8 y1 p
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
, e. Z. [/ m+ X' O8 Q3 o8 z“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”
6 q" f* ?; i3 H4 {2 Z+ a0 H' o& x
' r- N/ x6 f, R2 N+ h8 j$ @7 ]' `! V% J* G) y8 l5 m' |; i
下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:+ v X: e' _( S, G* x( r
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。4 g* ]# r2 f$ A$ b! n; u
+ u, R/ f+ Z C$ Q5 ]& ?8 u反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。: ?' ~3 ^: T: [2 e- U) J1 }, m% \1 i
3 [- ^5 s. o7 ]" {; @/ R. Y |
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