Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29529
[posts] => 481060
[todayposts] => 41
[yesterdayposts] => 136
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2804126 加密市场遭新一轮血洗!比特币破7万关口 (转) 1770346636 龙飞凤舞789
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7390 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势) M3 C7 K: o! ~- D. h- u3 Q- H4 `, D$ s
5 C* r' l& Y; P* W2 E, {
过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。9 k* X/ `$ m9 |8 N8 e1 L
2 B5 e! @% U# u. q0 cPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
8 P- C9 v+ Q, }. u6 j
- {; Q4 c# j( g" {6 H6 T" B7 PCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。9 x/ k% r6 X! {# X0 {7 a
! W2 |1 i7 D3 [* |2 r/ r2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
% G. G1 U# Z+ [ O5 L' x" z% |' }% S5 I# s, d+ o
当前持仓成本:
8 e g" e! g7 s3 x: R5 {7 D9 n# Y, C! F* x' b8 B
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
, R' M8 F3 o0 u. @( ~6 F. t' m2 ^) z4 D# T' V
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;, W/ x, G/ J% e6 v
# q; n' q# S0 o* u) T* w) P) G; b+ {ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。* D# X; Z+ @, v9 c4 \
) ], n% a6 c. K8 w- }( i* o比特币价值回归:1 g+ C6 g5 e3 |3 V, U
2 k( ^0 r* O$ C# n, w# |: {8 L0 t, g7 z
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
/ ~! n: ~2 ~3 C2 m& `! H8 g4 w" o8 j) W5 d
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
8 N8 |0 T4 @& v( V2 K* H+ P7 W. g
) ]1 V7 ?" e: Z+ l" v加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
' x( Z/ C# _$ x- r7 g. _# N% m
; `4 _7 q1 a! x r$ u3. 市场热点与反弹情况
% C7 T# ] u4 J7 |3 N: ^1 U0 g5 o) E+ I9 R
ETH:' Y( [6 u# V% W) e9 Z
: W: x3 _- f- b# p `8 l2 c' m虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
- ]+ D0 t$ R3 `: m1 b" ]+ o$ ~; u- T# L# Y7 E6 D
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。% Q6 B8 _1 b$ l9 E. T
% ~2 H5 O% D0 ~; yBTC:
t2 f& G; y8 G: s. o) n3 b. [( \' m- x! k7 O' J& W
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。6 ~% S7 u( E0 ?0 M. X& P8 R$ N
4 i( m) X& V; o- n) Z W; k如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。0 T1 |1 m8 Y3 R, k- E: T
2 Y1 V- V7 | J2 X, j: q; p0 K6 s
SOL与XRP:
+ s( E" ~ E0 ?( Y9 ? J6 q4 ]/ `( l/ P- c7 K5 r/ D5 B6 \
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。/ {" S; y ^" H% f4 J9 k/ w
# i- `1 L- t6 rXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。9 _0 j2 o5 L' n
; [% }/ S# A% C7 d$ H) H5 u
其他热点项目:4 ~$ j; e4 [4 t/ h. D2 f
! d) c7 [3 n4 a涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。7 h2 ?* N1 @ j ]2 g( R8 c
! z' J' Y' F$ b* W$ b/ _/ X' j! f% @8 t山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。! {" l9 R( H8 O/ s+ \$ n# [
0 v. g- G, Z* l1 l4. AI赛道与新兴项目" ]" |" M' J9 R2 r& M
' m) c( E3 Q' y$ l' z- g! {AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。) b# w1 z" u: U4 C7 n, o
, U4 Q% T; h& z; {( c, D2 F
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。3 B, d# r1 r7 ]) R% u
2 F3 o4 k7 Z& @3 L5 R
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
3 z' K6 S: w' S
) x( \' E. M) J4 B' T$ P c* g市场展望
% s. S+ J4 p: x! k8 j5 T% x" D8 c
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
, J K$ s5 ^. \! v
; j4 Q* p" X9 A% m2 r0 O* L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13684 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19641 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 6146 小时
本月在线: 3 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10409 小时
本月在线: 9 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9073 小时
本月在线: 1 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3057 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|