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世界杯火热,各类菠菜彩票也卖得火热,会不会像电影小说里那样,黑心庄家靠操控比赛来赚彩民的血汗钱?. L* j6 K# }' X$ k4 D( D7 i
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菠菜公司大声喊冤:我们设定赔率可是巨资请专家团队来做的,准确率一般都超过60%。% k( G- {! ~/ C. c' C/ S5 G+ K
* T8 X) E: r2 b# z" A+ f7 f/ g* ?& D: ~9 K. ~9 h
3 ?2 w8 C d+ w! y8 t/ z还要运用巨型计算机和大量数学模型,根据各种因素计算出比赛结果,绝无操控一说。
; y. N/ Z. Z2 } 但实际上,菠菜公司赚钱根本不用那么费劲。例如某天意大利和英格兰对战,菠菜公司收到给意大利下注12万,给英格兰下注10万。如果意大利获胜,押对意大利的彩民除了拿回12万本金外,菠菜公司给予的奖金必须控制在10万元以内才不会赔钱,即赔率不能超过0.83,反过来对英格兰的赔率不能超过1.2。: s4 N+ c8 X, m X
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而实际上菠菜公司为了保证盈利还会将赔率调的更低,一般设定意大利赔率为0.77,英格兰赔率为1.14。- v! S* g, `- L
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菠菜公司盈利的秘诀就在于要经常根据投注额的变化调整赔率,过去这有点难度,但现在通过网络随时掌握各种投注数据,修正赔率就成了轻而易举的事情。
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对万众瞩目的重点赛事,操控比赛结果风险远大于收益。但在一些非重点赛事上,假球司空常见,赌球集团的势力更是大的惊人。" L- ^1 \9 f2 E7 ^% F
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例如2008年欧洲赌球案就涉及9个国家200场足球比赛,而背后黑手就是亚洲赌球集团。
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2009年克罗地亚杯决赛首回合被bao光遭到操控,亚洲庄家牟利1400万欧元。( t! y7 q$ m. h! u
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由于亚洲赌球公司技术太高明,不少欧洲菠菜公司现在都对亚洲盘口高度关注,甚至要跟着调整自己的赔率呢。
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