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[虚拟币资讯]
分析狗狗币：尽管存在看涨背离但为什么空头头寸可能是关键
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自去年 11 月以来，狗狗币一直处于下跌趋势。价格确实在 3 月份触底，并从 0.11 美元的低点大幅反弹至 0.18 美元，但狗狗币以及其他加密货币市场的情绪在 4 月份再次转向恐惧。 5 C; d$ P+ C/ `8 i9 f2 h6 \, p
比特币在K线走势图上显得疲软，看起来将连续第九周出现红色蜡烛。这种无情的下行压力也可能对 DOGE 价格产生重大影响。 , X! `1 R8 n' S6 c, A
DOGE- 12 小时图5 ^9 X$ v% |; e% W5 v* y9 a: u
' b& {) c0 v% m/ d8 L2 I在价格图表上，可以看到价格已经设置了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。3 月底有几天，反弹至 0.18 美元似乎打破了先前看跌的市场结构，并将其转为看涨。但是，价格无法获得 0.14 美元的支撑。
8 |2 @) D2 }5 \5 Q" \5 月，0.14 美元区域被重新测试为阻力位，价格继续快速下跌至 0.07 美元大关，然后反弹至 0.09 美元水平。因此，5 月份卖家压倒性地强势，0.8-0.1 美元区域是多头要击败的阻力位。
& O* z; S3 w" V+ d* a; }; N; P看涨背离似乎正在形成，但价格会随之上涨吗？更紧迫的是，这样的暴涨会以新的、兴奋的买家的形式为长期持有者提供退出流动性，还是可以开始真正的上升趋势？
* ^. y, i+ o3 Q基本原理
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# d% [) C7 j9 y2 Q+ k2 ^& ^5 lRSI 为 41.16，略高于 40 关口，表明强劲的看跌势头可能正在减弱。还可以看出，40 关口过去曾充当支撑和阻力，因此突破 40 对多头来说是鼓舞人心的。随机 RSI 也在向上攀升。 . z6 w3 I* v& U6 ]5 I$ K* [
OBV 在过去两周内创下了更高的低点，尽管价格创下了更低的低点（橙色）。同样，RSI 也创下了更高的低点。这是一个看涨背离，表明价格反弹可能即将到来。 : X% j y% Y; u1 M, K) _
结论) c/ ?9 {' |2 v
单独的背离并不能决定反弹，如果这样的向上移动到来，可能还需要几天的时间。由于市场结构仍然压倒性地看跌，而不是寻求买入看涨突破，交易者可以在 0.1 美元区域内做空 DOGE。止损可以设置在 0.11 美元以上。 * h; S* D- j2 \( ]0 P
来源：金色财经 |
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