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[lastpost] => 2654227 狗狗币行情情绪再次转为看跌(转) 1717373506 xiaoyi
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[color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]周末还是老套路继续震荡,不做选择。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]山寨近期跌回前低,现在就看大饼本周要不要继续向下砸坑。这个位置对于短期来说说实话一半一半,无非就是对于中期而言会不会有更好的介入点。这里如果继续盘也可以,只是暂时我们不说调整到位的话题,毕竟时间也不到位,而且美股未来可能会有回调的预期,7月加息的概率毕竟超级大,且美联储暂时没松口,在科技股超级强势进入缓和期,利率问题再度摆在投资人面前了。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]暂时没有选择,看本周走势的想法了,目前概率比较大的还是相信近期3w附近盘整是下跌中继。其他没什么变化,山寨都在等着看大饼怎么走,毕竟现在这个时间,大饼近段时间的这个变化,和往常是不同的,在这个基础上是否能强势的盘整代跌,大家心里都没谱,所以暂时就无所谓地震荡着,还是看本周大饼对于短期回落走势怎么处理的问题,由此多看看就行了,等本周出结果 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)] 山寨币行情是否已经结束?[color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]从过往的经验来看,山寨币补涨行情结束通常都有两大信号: [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]一是代表市场最高风险偏好的资金开始大规模撤离; [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]二是该板块的每日成交占比大幅下滑。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]然而,到目前止,本轮反弹的两大龙头代表BCH和COMP的调整仍较温和,两者不仅没有跌破10日均线,下跌的实体阴线也相对较小,因此,谈资金大规模撤离还为时尚早。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]在成交占比方面,山寨币(不包括BTC、ETH和稳定币)过去十个交易日的成交占比一直保持在42.1%至51.3%之间,并未出现异常波动的情况。这表明市场投资者的交易偏好并未发生明显改变。所以,当前更像是山寨币行情的阶段性调整,而并非行情终结。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]尽管山寨币的行情仍在继续发酵,但市场的整体交易热情却出现了明显的降温。Coinglass行情数据显示,本周加密市场的日均成交量为740亿美元,较上周下降了21%,与上上周的1080亿美元相比,降幅更大,达到了31%。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]市场整体水位不断下降使得山寨币的分化变得越来越明显。例如,COMP和MKR去中心化借贷两大巨头已经翻倍,DeFi板块仍有80%的币种趴在地板上。如果市场成交量长期维持在1000亿以下,那么市场的操作难度将大幅提升。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]在市场调整期间,SOL、AVAX等山寨币仍继续上攻,这表明山寨币的突围依然没有停止。然而,在山寨币反弹的后半阶段,分化是行情的主基调。只有过硬的逻辑,才能走得更远。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)] 关注这几个局部机会[color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]最近的行情,着实是有点虚 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]场外没有资金进来的,下半年跌到25000的概率还有,但是两万有点难。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]行情磨磨蹭蹭摆在那里,没有让人上头的东西,屯币就是最好的选择咯。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]我个人看好的,除了大饼以太,无非就是INJ,和ordi,mkr属于还没有成型的RAW概念的一个拿来炒作的标的。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]也就是说,下半年能够布局的趋势赛道,可能出现10倍百倍机会的 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]1.坎昆升级,大概炒作时间在8-9月份,相关的品种其实很多,各种新公链和一些衍生品生态平台 dydx gmx inj rdnt这些,都可能会利好,挑一个坚挺的,自己更信仰的就可以了。 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]2.BTC生态,大概第二波不知道还有没有,反正现在是一潭死水,大部分人都亏了很多 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]3.RAW概念和云存储 [color=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.85)]老调重弹,很多东西,总的跟实际实体结合多一些,新入场资金理解起来更容易一些才好让人上头啊!
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