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天朝比特币交易量上升！加密货币禁令未扼杀市场 “场外交易”激增逾200%(转）
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 区块链数据平台Chainalysis周二(9月17日)发布的研究报告显示，尽管天朝监管机构对比特币和加密货币的市场活动控制严格，
; ^) O1 m1 Y+ s0 `但投资者在经济放缓的情况下，寻找低迷股票替代品，天朝加密货币交易活动仍在上升，场外交易量较2021年同期增长超过200%。
k6 ^! I7 D/ u+ i" j日经亚洲(Nikkei Asia)引述该报告指出，2024年第二季，天朝的比特币和加密货币“场外交易”(OTC)市场交易量较2021年同期增长2倍多，达到237亿美元。$ L4 e+ l0 Q2 H; M, m; M
, w- _; E* j# {8 N所谓“场外交易”，就是加密货币买家和卖家通过通常隐蔽的网络直接联系。
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0 {* |$ h/ ?! n H( [" @* {Chainalysis分析师解释说：“在天朝2021年关闭主流加密货币交易所的访问权限后，用户开始将目光转向其他地方，转向场外交易平台和点对点(P2P)交易网络。”9 U4 N# I1 E6 S
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多年来，天朝监管机构对加密货币一直采取严格限制措施。2017年，包括天朝人民银行(天朝央行)在内的有关部门，禁止私募代币发行(ICO)和交易比特币、加密0 d* q9 \( Z" I! `# p. \; _) w
. f, D1 a& B. M8 Y$ f+ I货币的交易所。2021年，他们进一步打击挖矿、交易和相关服务，包括发布声明称“外国加密货币交易所向境内居民提供的服务也被视为非法金融活动”。
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相比之下，被视为离岸司法管辖区的香港采取了不同的方式，通过交易所等许可中介机构和基于加密货币的交易所交易基金(ETF)来监管此类交易。* ^. H- f: n& F& i* h g: |
+ H5 ~' U' e/ L2 F0 s尽管如此，Chainalysis数据显示，天朝内地的加密货币活动并未被扼杀。
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Chainalysis网络犯罪研究主管埃里克·贾丁(Eric Jardine)表示，这些数据并不能完全反映天朝场外交易市场的规模，因为买家和卖家通常通过社交媒体群组上的渠道6 Z8 h+ K4 S. n8 k/ U- p$ h' ^
6 F+ f5 u/ [. z; R' @. O3 H+ I进行联系，而且交易经常通过嵌套在服务提供商中的网络进行，而这些服务提供商可能不了解流量的真实业务范围。
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( y: Y) J2 |- J7 q, N3 B2 c据知情人士透露，即便在限制措施之下，内地用户仍可以进入全球交易所提供的场外市场。由于话题敏感，这些知情人士拒绝透露姓名。
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. M% G. V/ H; _! W% q" l' Q其中一位知情人士表示，这些平台要求买家提供个人信息，并要求买家存款以保证交易完成。: i/ r. A. @# c$ O
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Chainalysis发现，从2023年1月到2024年6月期间来看，当天朝上证综合指数下跌时，场外市场的流入资金往往会增加。该指数在此期间下跌了4.78%。
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报告指出，天朝国有房地产开发商万科A股下跌时也出现了同样的现象，万科是陷入困境的天朝房地产行业的代表。万科报告称，2024年上半年净亏损98亿元人民币，8 H4 ?8 `# y0 x& n
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约合14亿美元，核心销售额同比下降37.6%至1273亿元人民币。
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% u5 I. O' T# {贾丁表示：“天朝内地宏观经济逆风似乎与这些场外资金流入有关”。
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$ t$ O. A( k" x0 e9 O他补充称，这种联系在全球市场上很常见。6 r) c4 p* a; S% h) L' v
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报道提到，INSEAD驻新加坡的金融学副教授Ben Charoenwong表示，由于对国内经济的情绪依然消极，人们正在寻找将资金转移到天朝境外的途径。! q( B: L( g+ {( A& N: r7 @; n
0 z" T+ r- A2 g$ O5 j9 k; n“如今，如果你想通过传统的非官方方式，比如使用骡子将资金转出天朝，费用可能高达25-30%。天朝场外加密货币的使用日益增多，表明人们正在寻找更快捷的资金
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转移方式，”Charoenwong表示。
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