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[打法交流] 揭秘百家乐赌场优势(转)
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1#
赌场优势
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, f3 U6 l, ?0 n4 c- h4 h为什么久赌必输?这首先是一个数学问题,因为赌场是游戏规则的制定者,具有赌场优势。
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* p2 `$ V1 [" a1 A- n0 n" k+ d我们来举一个简单例子。赌场里最流行的游戏是百家乐,这是一款扑克牌游戏。在牌桶里有8副牌,荷官会给庄家和闲家各发2-3张牌,按照一定的规则比大小。6 b% E. p" S) V! |

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百家乐游戏
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/ Q2 [' l. `" [8 u# N5 }具体的发牌规则比较复杂,我们不做讨论,我们只要知道:由于发牌顺序和规则的原因,庄家和闲家获胜的概率是不同的:
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3 Y5 E) \7 c. d! ]1 w& }: j经过计算,在一次牌局中,庄家获胜的概率是45.86%, 闲家获胜的概率是44.62%, 和局的概率是9.52%。赔率一般是:庄家1赔0.95,闲家1赔1,和局1赔8。如果出现和局,下注庄家和闲家的筹码不会输掉,而是会留在原位等待下一局。
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百家乐游戏获胜概率: w( M1 W) w, p9 l3 w, B

+ w, \/ ]" s2 R0 x- |* }& F0 w3 p那么,你觉得百家乐是一个公平的游戏吗?+ m1 s" \6 E' Q( Y" f
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如果下注庄家1元,你有45.86%的可能性获胜,拿回1.95元,也有44.62%的可能性空手而回,还有9.52%的可能性是平局,你的筹码会继续留在桌面上。所以,一局结束后,你手里的筹码的数学期望是:$ C' r1 _/ j8 N4 |
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E=45.86%×1.95+44.62%×0+9.52%×1=0.9894元5 F# u. W4 Q. N

* o, E& G. \6 ~* ?也就是下注1元,平均亏掉1.06%。8 r- c0 f$ m, b* r* Q
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# R& J9 r) f/ k& i下注庄家1元的数学期望5 i$ d) i4 `; j
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同样的方法,可以计算出下注闲家1元,平均可以拿回0.9876元,亏掉了1.24%。
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+ O! ~6 B; Q: w8 mE=45.86%×0+44.62%×2+9.52%×1=0.9876
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) O5 P3 r" s4 ]也就是平均亏掉1.24%。3 f3 e: r8 M& W5 D# N$ @; W) j

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4 F9 M' \  k0 k+ ]9 K7 y下注闲家1元的数学期望+ S3 [5 y/ D+ R! r; [

7 Q" \0 e' Z' k0 p/ ]那么下注平局呢?如果庄家大或者闲家大,你将会损失掉这1元。如果和局,你将会拿回9元,所以你平均可以拿回0.8568元。4 }, N1 n* I! K6 t: j& j
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E=45.86%×0+44.62%×0+9.52%×9=0.8568
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: n2 q* }( B2 Z! v: X也就是下注和局,平均亏掉14.36%!这真是败家最快的方法了。
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下注平局1元的数学期望
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百家乐这款游戏,你下注庄家,平均一局亏掉1.06%,下注闲家,平均一局亏掉1.24%,下注和局,一局亏掉14.35%,相当于股市里的一个半跌停。无论你如何下注,从概率上讲赌场都会赚你的钱,这就是赌场优势。/ {, `* [& F" |1 h; O- \+ {

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百家乐游戏赌场优势
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/ B4 L# Y3 n$ c+ F0 ?0 Y& j在赌场里的所有玩法,赌场都有优势,只是优势大小不同,平均一次下注,少则亏一两个点,多则亏三五十个点。这个结果是可以预料的,因为赌场不是慈善机构,为你提供这么好的服务,显然是要有代价的。- r  N. W$ r! ?5 e' V' E9 T7 k
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数学可以告诉你钱是怎么输的,但是不能帮助你从赌场里赢钱。在电影《雨人》中,主角的哥哥患有自闭症,但是却具有超强的记忆力,靠着记忆里记下了八副牌的顺序,赢了一大笔钱。现实生活中这是不可能的,因为荷官洗牌时并不会给你时间记牌,而当发牌到少于一定数目时,又会重新开始洗牌。想着凭借数学或者记忆力在赌场里赚钱,是异想天开的。3 Y5 _1 d- x' p% R! j$ m( }
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评分

参与人数 1贡献值 +3 收起 理由
avatar 天策-菱玖 + 3 理论区转载发帖奖励

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2#
这个优势还是非常的明显了啊。
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赌场肯定是有不少的优势的
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4#
有盈利的时候就该下线,全部方法长玩就是还回去
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
必输的局什么我必须是不会弄的啦
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6#
全数的必输都是坏的运气问题而已,祈祷楼主下次必定赢
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各个游戏的吧也是关注一下了
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8#
我其实就是来看大家说得荷官而已哦
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9#
其实每一种方法的吧~这个也是留意一下了
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荷官最主要还是看外表,没有外表的大致上我不会玩
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11#
每一种游戏也是值得去看看了解下的啦。
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12#
看了这个游戏我感觉也是需要游戏起来了的哦。
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今次游戏也还是很不错的盈利来的啊
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14#
每种方法也是值得去看看了解下的啦。
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15#
此次方法在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.
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16#
有些荷官一瞧就是不同凡响,还是需要好好关注一下的。
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17#
运气好了,再坑的荷官都挡不住你
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