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骰宝游戏是在一个笼子里装着三个骰子,翻转摇晃笼子就使骰子滚动。玩的人可以赌从1到6任何一个数,只要一个骰子出现他说的数时,他就得到他赌的钱数。参与者往往这样想:如果这个笼子里只有一个骰子,我赌的数就只能在六次中出现一次。如果有两个骰子,则六次中就会出现两次。有三个骰子时,六次中就会有三次赢,这是对等的。
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看了你发的这个帖子,一直关注你是高赔率的玩家,这个色子游戏,买一个数字,命中率50%,并且不被豹子杀,不会被抽水,我一直没想明白这个问题,赌场优势在哪里?多谢指教。
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如上的问题,我在隔壁闲逛的时候有个版主提交的。对于大部分人来讲,尤其是没有接触过排列组合的人来说,看起来完全是个赤裸裸的1/2概率的游戏,3个骰子,6个数。
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事实上,这个骰宝游戏。庄家优势高达7%以上~!!
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0 j3 N) P) e5 i+ S你获胜的几率不是50% 而是 42.129629%: R# ~$ n& V' c3 R" q# w
# e5 ?" n1 }' K4 J& ?方案1:
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6 e P& L, T: Y3 k3个骰子的结果共有6^3 = 216种,其中“不含其中某个数字”的结果共有5^3 = 125种。于是,“至少含1个某种数字”的结果就有216-125 = 90种。& D! ~! z t& g1 A8 D& N
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方案2:$ a& _+ O' m6 z/ ?* z3 M
7 O" q: e% p& d2 y还有一个侧面可以想~你输掉赌局的概率是 5/6 * 5/6 * 5/6 这个结果就显然了。你有超过57%的可能会输掉赌局。
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数学不能凭经验。 数学是博彩的基石。不存在没有庄家优势的游戏。7 K5 z) S: p$ t
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游戏最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟好运太差了。 |
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