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[真人] 百家乐的大、小概率,来个高人看看
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1#
现在网上百家乐偶尔有些场子是有买大小的,大(5、6张牌),小(4张牌)。想求教大小出现的概率是多少!来个高人帮忙算算!
( x, R$ Z6 }: r% G2 ~% v感谢!
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2#
这个不会搞呢。。
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3#
回复 1# ccfilm
7 T  h5 A, g+ r9 t2 D: r% P7 o; O
, D1 {" r1 w, c/ \
0 ]+ I; n& O3 Z7 p5 _, |, y   我算不上高人,但有一点可以肯定的告诉你,买百家乐的大小你绝占不到便宜!!!
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4#
大小张牌太鬼,不要买啊朋友,就押庄闲就可以
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
具体的不知道,反正买大小你会吃大亏。
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6#
已经查到了,贴出来各位参考:) }# v4 l& J, N' x2 g6 v

; T8 ~1 f% o( N: C5 z! s! @百家乐大小概率:
. S7 [% p, Q3 p$ `% L+ H小分3种情况:+ e- A) I0 `3 _; c9 x
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
3 E+ F6 b5 P% H& w# P9 g2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。9 ?) N! s' N! P
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。( L0 Q9 B  J; k
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
! [, H: s" k3 V1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10+ W/ u: t" E" u$ ?3 e
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
) C& f* u: s$ x7 Y3 v3 n4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
( x  ~( W2 f$ z4 N2 N4 O8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
9 b4 V; ?) _/ Y2 n: k( a; \由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。) E9 `( x- X! C7 Y: k" p
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。7 I( _0 T* S) c; r, S# q* C5 L
那么我们可以得出
' W. r9 _& E0 @% H; s  K* _7 P1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662: x- V' }- Y+ k6 X, R
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171  ; G3 Z# L1 B/ \6 t9 Z
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
  O# _& o8 i5 P所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693234 {4 \* w# M2 q$ t+ o
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
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7#
小0.378869323/ `! i& X3 |2 W  J2 D# s
大0.621130677! F- C* c3 y) B0 A' n  Z/ B8 a5 B7 C& ?

# ?0 S9 Y- V6 B' W2 h) i/ @1 l! e由此得知小赔1.5,大赔0.54的情况下,
2 r+ k9 m( ]9 O! e) l* ~4 a! G# K4 Q% h: }
小的收益率为-0.139432488
# g& e4 m1 c! z' S1 ~% x- v大的收益率为-0.069967173

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参与人数 1经验 +5 收起 理由
avatar 天策-团团 + 5 谢谢解答

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8#
若要正期望值,则赔率应为:- }; }6 S, Y1 X0 i( G0 t

% k0 \7 R+ v; c3 ^+ f; p小赔1.63
, \6 Y& F/ g. Q% {. r大赔0.609967173; ]' Y' j# d/ |
3 L+ ^" V0 H2 ^. I& S1 l8 J& c
方为正期望值,DC很黑啊。
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9#
开大两手 买大几率最大!
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10#
开大两手 买大几率最大!
; `  U5 K" V0 h  _; @fengzi8888 发表于 2013-3-7 20:26

8 J! J3 G% D$ ^& Y/ i) S( j9 @) |; l" `0 v7 b. Y1 H$ A, ]/ c

# ^( D) d1 w0 S' r   楼上您电影看多了吧。。
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回复 10# ccfilm
4 [+ F  N( k$ T- A. X% V  C. K- C" D/ }9 _
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    你可以去观察一下 。
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12#
这个不太会算
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感谢楼主的分享啊  看样子 大小的确不适合下注。
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14#
买大小,比买庄闲更容易失控
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