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世界杯火热，各类菠菜彩票也卖得火热，会不会像电影小说里那样，黑心庄家靠操控比赛来赚彩民的血汗钱？8 t1 P) P& y$ \/ _7 i6 r9 `2 n
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菠菜公司大声喊冤：我们设定赔率可是巨资请专家团队来做的，准确率一般都超过60%。3 G1 ]" x6 u0 Z2 x$ |) N
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+ H E, w; f; |" k5 I$ Q还要运用巨型计算机和大量数学模型，根据各种因素计算出比赛结果，绝无操控一说。
0 P0 O+ J2 |6 i5 W: X7 X9 E, S- ? 但实际上，菠菜公司赚钱根本不用那么费劲。例如某天意大利和英格兰对战，菠菜公司收到给意大利下注12万，给英格兰下注10万。如果意大利获胜，押对意大利的彩民除了拿回12万本金外，菠菜公司给予的奖金必须控制在10万元以内才不会赔钱，即赔率不能超过0.83，反过来对英格兰的赔率不能超过1.2。
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, a% d" |* {! Y& w 而实际上菠菜公司为了保证盈利还会将赔率调的更低，一般设定意大利赔率为0.77，英格兰赔率为1.14。% M. l; L+ m0 u
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菠菜公司盈利的秘诀就在于要经常根据投注额的变化调整赔率，过去这有点难度，但现在通过网络随时掌握各种投注数据，修正赔率就成了轻而易举的事情。
3 b. [" T7 \2 T3 W0 L( e
3 G# ^: W( }/ S/ ?" ^& f 对万众瞩目的重点赛事，操控比赛结果风险远大于收益。但在一些非重点赛事上，假球司空常见，赌球集团的势力更是大的惊人。
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例如2008年欧洲赌球案就涉及9个国家200场足球比赛，而背后黑手就是亚洲赌球集团。; O+ r0 ?4 |) Z+ O1 S9 b
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2009年克罗地亚杯决赛首回合被bao光遭到操控，亚洲庄家牟利1400万欧元。& `( N- f& y3 o K Z) s7 h
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由于亚洲赌球公司技术太高明，不少欧洲菠菜公司现在都对亚洲盘口高度关注，甚至要跟着调整自己的赔率呢。
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