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[lastpost] => 2809200 Brad Garlinghouse 表示，在价格僵局中，XRP 仍然是 Ripple 的北极星（转） 1772297293 垂钓园
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 ' l8 M$ [, x; F, q* ?
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
- K; ]; F- i1 U8 ?6 b* |此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
4 N' @6 D3 M' F9 e8 W以太坊基金集体亏损
" r* e7 L2 @ X/ [- i' Q根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 ! h3 |; z2 L, B9 N5 J+ k# ]# j4 Q
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
! e" K; j) V: B! y/ z8 ^. P与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
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8 [' q2 d2 ]# ~0 ~. R3 N编辑切换为居中 2 _4 |( X/ l |1 w. Q
流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
" q; R& A5 V2 D这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 4 S" D, z# T9 }5 e
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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编辑切换为居中 9 @1 I/ D9 O1 M7 M/ Y* a
6月5日的TVL以太坊
. {0 R! {% ^- r1 I1 G* h但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 , u# ], t1 c( l5 A7 o
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。
1 B& i* p6 C* W9 q% v男性讲述金融时报: 9 O# E g. w' n3 B7 e; t
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面 3 m4 F: ]0 ?# `' R
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 % [- b) o5 {$ R' d' d) M5 s: u
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
& c0 {# H6 f5 U6 i$ f9 Z根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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% R/ S2 p3 q0 L) `! }编辑切换为居中 / G( q; ~, Q" x Z6 i/ Z
ETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 7 o& h3 ~# B- P9 P
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
6 j c% N1 ^+ y6 S" \交易所的ETH储备正在增加 0 I& W/ T/ S+ S: T/ P ]% `3 B/ T5 Y
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出. * q$ b4 Z# @4 s! j
自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。
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9 @( X0 e% Y' S$ W编辑切换为居中
- H) _( O" _- e! o. X1 T9 W+ Q以太坊外汇储备 + ?2 q" v5 J4 l* C* F
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。 7 m0 Y1 i: ?" D0 p
来源：金色财经 |
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