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[lastpost] => 2797517 如果你在 2026 年初投资 1000 美元购买比特币，现在你将拥有这么多。(转） 1768487945 人生如赌
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昨晚20：30分，美国五月份CPI通胀数据发布：CPI公布数值 8.6%，高于预期数值 8.3%和四月的CPI数值 8.3%，创下1981年以来的最高水平。在高通胀数据的压力之下，金融市场随之急剧下跌，截至凌晨收盘：纳斯达克指数下跌3.54%、标普500指数下跌2.91%、道琼斯工业指数下跌2.73%、比特币跌破30000美元支撑线，下跌至28852美元的低位，随后在买盘拉动下回升至29200美元的上方。
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" }. j$ [; i6 d, O q3 ABTC/USDT 日线图。资料来源：TradingView , ?. @. v5 P# X; L! N3 ^
美东时间下周一，美联储将召开今年第四次议息会议，在为期两天的FOMC会议结束后，将于北京时间6月16日凌晨2:00公布联邦基准利率，市场认为，美联储加息75个基点的可能性正在上升。
& U9 B' e& c" d4 N3 f. a b以下是几位市场分析师对比特币未来前景的看法： ' U5 W4 L6 J. D; v
美元强势将重压风险资产
$ w2 w: O7 ?+ K加密市场分析师 艾卡波 谈到了高通胀数据对金融市场两个主要指标：美元指数 (DXY) 和标准普尔 500 (SPX) 的影响，他发布了以下图表，指出“在 CPI 数据公布后，# DXY 继续上涨，#SPX 继续自由落体。” * c' M! s1 W! r7 o: f( R: U$ K: o
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DXY 4 小时图与 SPX 2 小时图。资料来源：推特
! E4 B4 _7 r5 F4 h9 C W图表显示：美元上涨就等于其他金融衍生品下跌。这就像，海平面上涨淹没沿岸的沙滩。
) `1 d0 {7 F f: ^市场分析师凯文斯文森还表示，美联储如无法抑制通胀，可能会转化为经济周期在2023年正式进入衰退期。 8 f" h9 _# C$ l% i
有可能回调至 28,000 美元以下 9 H( [" R! I" s' Y
加密交易员 夏尔巴在推特上发布了比特币价格预测图认为，比特币的交易价格可能跌破28000 美元。
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/ {$ v' h: m7 }+ ^# i& u9 Q/ D3 K9 jBTC/USD 4 小时图。资料来源：推特
7 J5 m# L8 M% M$ S$ A夏尔巴认为：“从四小时线图来看价格似乎止跌了，但整体市场结构仍然看跌。没有真正积极的因素推动上涨。很清楚，如果跌破当前区域，下一个将考验28K美元支撑位。
& _- n6 W( Y+ g) ~+ T* rBTC 需要收回 3 万美元以防止进一步下跌 % A: W W4 T6 v+ k% b& S# _
Twitter名为克里布的市场分析师 发布了以下图表，显示比特币价格必须回到30000 美元才能防止进一步下跌。这位分析师表示，这是“我们需要坚持到底的时刻”。
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* z; E# W i- NBTC/USD 2 小时图。资料来源：推特 4 O6 |# I& G3 Z7 g \
克里布说：“支持，这是比特币第四次触碰28000 美元区域，再次反弹说明这个位置有强大的支撑。如果我们能回到 30K 美元以上，那么跌破 28K 美元就可以避免。”
& D. T4 s) z* |' ^- @) n来源：金色财经 |
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