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[lastpost] => 2797931 本周加密货币综述：影响中期牛市的三大因素（转） 1768607714 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
# j4 S) L) G4 v* a7 Z行情补充、
6 Q% `' Y0 ^) [在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
# R6 G( s5 ^, {市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 3 f* ~4 z6 D0 g) J/ P
关于疑问、一一回复。 , T7 K9 q# C( l) s' H3 l$ i
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ ! E9 T+ Y% y1 A" Z
5 W9 U7 a4 l2 l% d- m
首先就个人的主观来说、 # _/ {2 e1 f( m/ e1 B- ?; L7 c
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 ( x/ ]3 ]2 r/ K& y8 A' I
极度憧憬市场的未来！ : E, I; R ?$ \- b5 W5 {
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
3 g8 w3 c) T* F6 R最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
) C2 U& _5 t. U Q/ g而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
$ P# n# W" w; l. x' z会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
5 l! L6 s8 I4 R转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 & |- w5 c9 ?6 O0 |+ @ `8 |! i
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 + h3 n3 I% }# C7 s" s+ B
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） * O _# q1 p5 ^( Q9 m$ V- \% n
为什么会跌、
4 i) j U: H. d e1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
0 G: B6 _7 r! r4 u9 D2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 + F# I7 p. e: F' W% {3 q8 L. g
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
7 U" u3 \; ~3 N( E0 m+ m3 D, f综上造成的下跌、 2 l$ o% _' T( b: _; T
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 2 _0 W0 z8 _2 A0 T9 {3 x
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
T# { W0 b2 e" X0 W熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 9 c ~5 {$ V6 c, n) X" i+ W
来决定行情是否好转。
, p6 E$ \+ @! b+ k4 j至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
. Y3 Z+ \3 T/ V% S- q在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
, f2 T- A6 D8 b4 q1 M, V: S短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 5 R4 v9 @2 G: C; H0 I
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 - R& [+ T6 Y6 V; ~2 |. k
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 0 n7 i0 E& Q8 M' X; K) l/ P
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
0 g0 K3 L" y1 o日内大饼反弹、 , o, Y+ L5 D% U% G8 h( E# \
26150高空 5 H+ r* s* R$ T. |3 X; |
26350补仓 2 A* f6 n' L; D4 R- o3 u
26550防守 u$ `& D# q4 Z: _
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 + `0 ?9 P- G" u8 R
以太反弹 # q/ x+ V# r- {
1380高空
g7 L& [2 z# z1400补仓 & H+ G, E! B" l4 P: w' a
1420防守 ; @$ i G2 F! H/ T
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 & K @, X5 w) M! Z( c
附言、
# ^* i' t6 t2 W, _许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
' M6 @5 Z8 L. x" B' n9 T5 Y) R3 \是正常现象，
1 M( c0 h' ?- E* Z& h合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 ( G, w) E1 ?; ?1 S
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
W+ T8 P. o9 O4 a* M大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
. {: J$ K$ x+ ?& I/ W0 ]上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
' M8 R% L3 L, Z0 H5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 6 q$ \0 c, L# X" s% f9 u: m
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
0 g( Q. O1 h! n6 g, F相信七月公布时，会较理想。
v+ P' q/ j( ]& s+ d但现阶段，要承受的住。
- m, z% g" s! ^; {6 ^+ r% i9 Y最后再强调、现货勿割。
. M- {+ T: k: |# {. t25000的大饼 1300的以太、 - E+ L; C- p0 \( h' c% W' O
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
& N5 o9 [( D2 a$ q稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 9 T6 ]5 x3 v: b1 F K" r- p
这个市场，
; P+ t: T* B0 I1 F, E( I消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
: {2 ]0 O m0 K1 `( s最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
' \$ a, Y# k# D4 C切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
. P' |/ [/ p) r9 R5 i0 J但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 1 v+ F& O2 ^% e) b+ X% V
来源：金色财经 |
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