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[lastpost] => 2752401 【YZ】7月28日投注流水30368元 1753696255 lvaeyou
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骰宝游戏是在一个笼子里装着三个骰子,翻转摇晃笼子就使骰子滚动。玩的人可以赌从1到6任何一个数,只要一个骰子出现他说的数时,他就得到他赌的钱数。参与者往往这样想:如果这个笼子里只有一个骰子,我赌的数就只能在六次中出现一次。如果有两个骰子,则六次中就会出现两次。有三个骰子时,六次中就会有三次赢,这是对等的。' C* P+ Q' K% n1 |, P- E
! B, o+ x0 |$ z看了你发的这个帖子,一直关注你是高赔率的玩家,这个色子游戏,买一个数字,命中率50%,并且不被豹子杀,不会被抽水,我一直没想明白这个问题,赌场优势在哪里?多谢指教。* h. _! O; J+ U+ M- s; J
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如上的问题,我在隔壁闲逛的时候有个版主提交的。对于大部分人来讲,尤其是没有接触过排列组合的人来说,看起来完全是个赤裸裸的1/2概率的游戏,3个骰子,6个数。$ L4 `& y" z; j& M& X& F! f9 N5 _3 [
1 m8 b/ ^& J- \4 u( h Z' J/ V事实上,这个骰宝游戏。庄家优势高达7%以上~!!
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' D! d0 c, n( x$ b$ O) C你获胜的几率不是50% 而是 42.129629%
2 ?8 H- t0 v# j- c9 ]7 s( b# m8 W6 a6 `) C! T8 c6 C- L1 u
方案1:$ W) K# \ O5 Y5 E
8 |+ c5 D& |- D+ n' g/ L3个骰子的结果共有6^3 = 216种,其中“不含其中某个数字”的结果共有5^3 = 125种。于是,“至少含1个某种数字”的结果就有216-125 = 90种。
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方案2:; Y& |$ y( s: R
G- T8 I9 B* E+ R, \ e0 _还有一个侧面可以想~你输掉赌局的概率是 5/6 * 5/6 * 5/6 这个结果就显然了。你有超过57%的可能会输掉赌局。
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5 P8 X1 ]% {2 _" ]& x9 |数学不能凭经验。 数学是博彩的基石。不存在没有庄家优势的游戏。) ^6 x* Z# E- A" a1 N- `$ S
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游戏最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟好运太差了。 |
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