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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。( @2 Y9 s7 u- z# ?
" T0 Z$ w8 ]/ M% ]过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。' ?/ Q* f# r; l0 K$ z
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当( K3 t9 i% t, J/ [; s# S. _
* a; b A1 s) i( M5 @* e天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场 f6 s8 D! @0 u
O) c {2 N( G) i2 k, e3 D2 b处于健康的看涨状态。7 j/ [" d8 y P. I% Z' ^
3 H# r: A% ?( q; O1 \AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬1 s9 o$ d: u, m
- F7 z; J1 U! T: ?' b
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF( K$ X. Y& h* ?/ ~, F& O
9 F3 X6 c' ?6 C6 J
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
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$ M$ u* v' @+ J1 PAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
) o L1 @ V/ ]% `* E7 b0 w2 z# b5 ?' J2 k- {! T5 q6 _& r3 s4 H
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提' d4 C* Y" }& \1 B; s/ W0 s( n |
+ ~. e* `* m/ y
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。5 g1 Y/ O- O0 e2 n4 e0 {
) c+ x# l% f+ `5 g$ P3 p5 U. n% l! O
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较' X: _, |: q/ ]5 c9 J/ x8 U3 h3 N
8 U, {) l, D+ v) S+ ~9 j% x
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强4 w; m6 x/ f2 X2 r# i% J
6 y( ]( l E* [7 @劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
" b$ E. `2 A7 a- p
5 j+ U: ]' g5 E然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
' d) N; F7 Q( G7 T( u, X1 g* s' W$ f1 }
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。7 N: K+ k9 O4 @7 ]
7 S) v+ L& P) ?( D8 {2 a
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
: P7 F6 N3 V; Q6 A) ~% E
, J3 t$ o v6 l7 BNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不: K) o% Q, |) }( [( ^! i. `# @. @
1 n0 g! j& k! ?' C2 L, g8 o绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法3 \% z9 _9 _" ` N/ F# s* a: B$ v
% d1 F# I$ s# r2 Y4 [0 {/ n2 r
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。" J. r7 q w1 P1 S& k% \- j6 u
0 C% I$ d z I* y4 j3 d# f
' \" L) {& {9 g& f; m1 [
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的# t- q4 w `& A4 c$ ?
% K1 `( e# |9 j; U j3 a7 w关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。 W7 n* X- [5 G7 u5 `
# W# D. D9 h0 s- a8 l% u( ^
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