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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；1 \1 q$ f" V3 ]4 ^! E" V( y( g
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；, ~9 i& L: c# b) O7 ^
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
& w6 i; Y4 x' M( A' g) x5 F D! V) {7 {. O8 x
根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；$ y+ p" ]' O! {# i8 t
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在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；' a4 l' A$ s$ X7 { J
: p) Q) B+ o& h( P9 X下一步BTC上涨？
% o% J# n0 x9 H4 v" C& y采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
6 o" p% k! s/ i" D; E& p7 J
$ m- {/ ?4 a( m1 K y" ^% j此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；5 P; n/ F3 u: y7 J9 {; }# }8 C. `
/ e: |, z% F. [- \6 x5 G4 U尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
- L. q8 P0 g& @$ t1 Y( `) d% w7 B9 M x5 D7 J2 ^
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
+ R$ {5 N* ~ g; |; `0 F! a, {& M4 a! p
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
' D$ A: G7 H9 V( Q. h5 _
% G& i* k7 M. a) N另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；2 u$ p3 ]% }/ |2 {) O+ Z7 E" s0 k
% W, \" t# s g ?& G1 `. V7 I
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
1 ^% e7 L" `, A" s+ g" ^" ~6 P4 b' X: {2 ]3 b; t( P9 `/ Z+ [) X6 M
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
7 @$ [4 B4 o. r W% `8 T$ N" s4 u# |/ @/ c
在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,9 L3 b. d# r' R* C9 ?5 b
* ]( W7 G$ [; k) [“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
# |7 z1 H( q/ _; y7 P
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