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[lastpost] => 2797984 比特币需求量是发行量的 6 倍——这是稀缺性驱动的扩张吗？（转） 1768624294 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售8 [* l: G* F" `
自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
# o2 D# }4 h) W% g& c3 m- f3 _$ r在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。) N2 |# f4 z2 C4 i6 v0 K4 U5 u
7 V3 h6 f' n8 ?: D* ]! z4 K总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。 P8 K% s( G& W
]5 w' k( ?9 p; F% z内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号
1 ^1 {5 U: P9 n+ [2 R9 H& Y) e9 k目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。' d% |# E9 _& |" k
+ c2 D# w# u/ G这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
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从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
* e! e2 @ ^# ?
# I7 K9 k& `$ z1 D6 x# w' ~3 U+ R每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
1 p5 R2 V$ X$ R- [3 c- U- l) _! V- S3 R6 F3 R" X$ @; S# E
特朗普价格前景
. H7 d% h5 `6 Y$ Y特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。6 T E4 F7 u3 V: |" w
! Y+ }$ P5 l% F: h6 H" P4 H1 c" E这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。6 p2 M' A/ c: b0 t( k
& _) y4 T6 A. u" K2 {
同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。% N/ a, r- B6 G( w
- e* c7 q$ F+ J$ X1 o& q交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。
, @: z+ p+ L Z' `0 }, i- u1 A% [$ G. v. T) v
过去解锁了一个警示性的故事
. ?) K, q; R% N4 g6 |8 t与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。( Z8 G, ~2 v n ^/ r
f$ p; M$ o: Q& S
从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。" Q! ?& k1 J7 N( C
, @) k: ~: e% {+ D" J- I在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。) [0 d0 ^# u& b9 q
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