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[lastpost] => 2797890 比特币和以太坊波动——交易量为何下降?(转) 1768580993 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上:长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗?(转)
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长期持有者依然坚定持有,比特币仍处于积累阶段。0 n; L5 M; `7 {
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
8 @; t$ p4 N( i& j& Z* N1 i4 c在过去的24小时内,比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%,截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。2 N' e( [+ |7 p7 Y7 [! V' d) Y+ o
& `8 l7 F* {$ E: e0 B+ g
尽管市场普遍动荡,但比特币价格依然保持坚挺,这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。" ^; _, ?3 F/ S0 Z6 k4 {
2 s/ J' E8 O2 t; }; y+ R+ [# q长期持有者没有抛售迹象9 f1 i, X& J' }) P7 j* }- G) m6 ]
比特币的 RHODL 比率(将长期持有者(6 个月至 2 年)与短期持有者(1 天至 3 个月)进行比较)显示后者仍在持有。
0 a' x/ N! _6 c, @. h
, X# m; a* c( E0 x值得注意的是,RHODL 比率目前低于 2,低于 2024 年的高点,表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
/ I- q. Z, x1 E* R# q: o2 t/ \2 Y8 ^8 i! _! O
截至发稿时,重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。7 ~1 L3 e, T4 j+ W( V9 f% j. C
+ S9 H) y! y0 g) O
这一指标很重要,因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。# E& q, c6 V1 O& N; r: f
* P% ~+ z- [2 e从历史上看,当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时,它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。% M5 b9 z0 a& K- w z9 w
1 e* b7 L5 e m( v3 S8 zAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。: Z; Q$ Y+ X4 B7 |
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
0 J. Y* n* A2 q现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
3 G: n1 @( T- r! ? j5 D. m% S' v% Y. Z- o2 m Z+ I& Z
过去24小时内,现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而,这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
3 l0 X* @5 Q( \3 c. J+ I, z8 t" A7 \; o6 V. `7 i, ~4 T- }' p+ x* ~
与此同时,传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元,创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
. J1 j6 I8 j) s+ i3 ^4 S
0 c+ S* C" J2 R此项活动证实,投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平,根据 Puell Multiple,这仍被视为折扣。
+ R1 x1 r, U8 c
9 c5 c- G, X* u; k! s7 }' h问题依然存在:所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗?AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘,发现了更多见解。& G& K. _. L& H9 T# _
, I* A! G: \; s& b加密基金进入市场:供应紧缩?
( ^' A* v* q2 U1 p3 J5 H/ R截至发稿时,基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。- q' F( I: q3 g+ X
, c& [% u4 q; U' F& w5 s当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时(目前为 0.1),就会发生买入。
+ V5 }" K+ P! }- q) r
* m/ D+ j* Q* a# n, m( P# D; L+ c+ g该指标的持续上升表明,比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势,尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
* L6 a* \6 A5 m( ~$ f2 b! C. @! q& S: e. B' ] D, U
当需求超过供应时,就会出现供应紧缩,从而推高资产价格。; ]/ Z/ O5 D, X/ Y- Z
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