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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 * B: n7 J7 a; Z! {
行情补充、
3 t& M$ M! u: M4 \6 R0 C! \' l在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
6 }: A) k' U$ z+ s$ i市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 k+ M4 n/ I' d# q7 j3 D
关于疑问、一一回复。 ' y: f8 x3 T. x' ^8 c( }" S1 ^/ r
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ , x" l( W7 } E$ h
) V; R" {. u' ?" l% q
首先就个人的主观来说、 2 O$ u2 O- |. R4 h; W7 ^
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
& S0 e* [: B. E% i$ |极度憧憬市场的未来！ 9 I4 X$ c% s1 S& _4 } K2 ]) [
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 6 v: H% d; K% u! g
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
: q, q3 X) E9 B: c$ m而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
! E4 X8 v% I4 a" F1 |会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
9 Q7 A. l4 T0 ?0 k转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
$ x P. R- m& N" y# W其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
% n# o) d' k% u' `. {6 u（这是最精准的抄底时机，） ( ~& A3 x2 p. T7 D6 x+ _9 V
为什么会跌、 - s" D- T% x R, s' C
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 6 x$ ]0 J; \" s# D
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
) A# Y) a' w7 p* _0 A& L3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 - A5 R1 B0 c; D+ x
综上造成的下跌、
4 `) y6 j F7 j& ]* R! w这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
7 H- A+ `; G2 h. Q: B$ f也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
( n* ?$ }9 ~5 ]6 j7 X+ F5 H1 F熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 / e, f. g' i* K9 a9 G
来决定行情是否好转。
& ?5 ?+ |- ?2 E7 X% p$ d5 P2 D至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
z p8 u# H B) S0 Z4 b: }4 w在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ) W' W' f$ Q0 E- a- M- t- ~' F) b# D
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
/ O; T% M# ]3 _+ e7 G$ }周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
- ~% o; Y6 \" n那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 3 I# Z- v- ~7 C; }/ V: H. |3 t
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
3 H& W, ^& P5 h0 x$ m) v日内大饼反弹、 ( A( t8 g: `( M" @
26150高空
6 i1 I2 T" g/ Z" I26350补仓 ( W0 c! j4 d# D$ x& Y1 [
26550防守 8 f: C& @1 f) e5 q
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 , d, u4 N* D0 W# e. D
以太反弹 5 R/ o! z5 p! B% w& G/ V* L% l8 x1 O
1380高空
9 h! }: N) {+ U( w1 v3 `4 t+ G1400补仓 : o* j6 B7 Q+ j0 |% a0 B$ ?3 D& i
1420防守
' ~8 O7 g$ y" O( W0 A3 D/ M目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
! S8 M! X* p' Z7 L' a附言、
7 k M- b: B/ Z- ^许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
; a+ F7 N# ]! ~) d1 Z; a- X* f是正常现象，
/ {3 H$ h4 w4 D$ a$ ^* n合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 + t2 \0 \1 C7 }& a: `3 {
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 8 |+ x& y1 N* K( b! J( Q3 ^" r
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 . \6 L2 J; G& y* O: t
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
3 E+ L* s# G$ w, ?* B4 W) }- ^5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
& `( p/ [4 s4 m; g6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
3 Z, d2 t; G. d( R2 v相信七月公布时，会较理想。
* \% _! ~5 |$ F$ Z+ a# r, f( C. M但现阶段，要承受的住。
. L1 I4 s) a/ y$ [最后再强调、现货勿割。
/ Q" h( ^& a4 ~4 h25000的大饼 1300的以太、 - d1 s' P# D2 D! C
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 ! e) Y8 b9 C8 U7 E) _
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
# K- a) F5 Z! t这个市场，
+ C+ P; `0 X6 b& g消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
8 ]( d( `- o& y% y, ~最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
: Z0 X, h2 l; O$ y3 H+ f* W切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
6 c! C3 d5 {" q7 B2 \ w/ X+ X但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 0 X1 h# a S3 G& f/ F1 g! w f8 j
来源：金色财经 |
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