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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
& a! C& r2 L( L( W" F, F| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
* O- h+ r1 k6 L) S, R' i6 Y德州扑克游戏过程中的概率1 z1 t7 N9 S0 E; }5 v$ Z7 i
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。
9 N+ y' a$ b$ e# y {/ ?. F! v: K
# T$ ?1 R& `& r& N) O下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语1 L6 O) m; B% w# w/ b: x( s
2 P, N2 H' W7 j3 F$ J# l& ?补牌总数
" N E6 J& a+ T. d O, L2 V0 COuts$ R' r2 C/ N4 O" A
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数/ o' h$ I7 h8 B' Q0 Q7 J5 f/ Q
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”4 v8 h w* V0 q& z: Y0 Q
0 E& o8 I% z9 }$ S/ r8 Z5 }# B成牌概率' M7 Y% w" W; g/ S6 b3 Q
Hand Odds
- I: V: f6 }7 @' {. o8 z5 u形成一手特定牌型的概率$ Q& c" c* R6 X$ ~; x5 V, x
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
1 J5 |2 L4 R6 _2 e5 G: @: s
1 B( e$ o5 Q, }) e3 [总注概率 S# r% Q7 E' r6 Y
Pot Odds
) f0 Y, ~. P( W1 c; y2 s- \你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。' [. m* {: r! `
; C2 R3 p+ s. ~& O: O下注概率
7 Y4 m- [; g K) T4 x' ^& O& U+ zBet Odds
7 g- K% K0 Y# |3 S$ c) }0 k你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率
7 K( z" a7 P+ }7 U“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”
8 p* I3 ]$ I! o1 q F }; p4 e; V3 d
9 X8 Q) a8 `: h9 O隐含概率7 B" }6 g7 @, n
Implied Odds, e" _) j# J" ]! T0 M
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
9 u9 Z+ F) J, H8 Y0 {“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”
8 f2 @9 ?) l! [
8 M5 F) z# ~, A/ x) {3 h' w8 j
: h% X5 { T$ a- y下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
% R' K/ @( @: u) z转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
2 S% ~3 m+ A$ F: t" A) ~& T
3 s9 J* F" `$ U0 f) e$ F反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。+ W! {* C! t1 r& n+ t+ X
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