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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明; ?' X3 j l; E
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
* \3 I' C9 e4 {, l9 j: g且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。/ k, m8 U; _. P0 C
官员预计：2024将降息3次/ b: j' A6 G- _- Y& E
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季! L8 w3 H% P: G6 a) V6 t7 g" P" a
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也! G! r3 y+ Y4 {3 o/ |% E
已经开始讨论降息的时机。# W7 t/ f/ D6 C0 Q
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅- m$ ^% f* {9 A1 Q8 Y7 l* X
走高。
5 H6 D5 t/ }& n$ w% B- d且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
" R( Y, `' F# `( O) A: c: }. p8 s# X解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。" e* A/ ?4 H; G, T& n K9 C
比特币冲破4.3万( W( D; a: D9 x }3 V% P' \- o
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。: u! N) B8 z* V# n" b
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
- u# T P7 e* ^2 A5 {* \以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
* |/ S- b; ~5 x, `. X" H" `* g美股四大指数齐扬
8 I1 s; a* E5 p, F* _回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
8 H$ a/ H9 b, I1 S' J道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点/ p+ w& R+ ?# J0 j+ g$ N1 u3 s* }6 A, f
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
6 U3 M6 N3 A9 A9 n) J* Y! I标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
3 d, @" I6 I2 ]. B费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
4 X" ~- n4 ~* Q' i" O# v$ P美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
l& I7 \5 s$ z! W- d另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。" D2 }/ K) _( e. J
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
0 S7 y) T" N5 w2 f跌到更接近3%水平。
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