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[lastpost] => 2798799 期权数据显示，比特币到6月底有30%的概率跌破8万美元。（转） 1768897287 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
随着比特币集会向98K目标，美国通货膨胀的上升推动了政策转变（转）
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美国通货膨胀的意外增长引发了对美联储政策期望的迅速重新评估。在最初的市场低迷后，比特币和其他加密货币反弹。
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这表明投资者可能会以不同的方式看待通货膨胀的风险。 2025年1月的最新消费者价格指数（CPI）数据超越预测，延迟了对降低美联储的期望。尽管如此，比特币的弹性仍标志着通货膨胀如何影响数字资产的转变。
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% E. T' h/ o, I. [ q+ x% X通货膨胀数据驱动市场移动
$ t' [& w3 E* w7 {3 y一月的CPI报告显示超过预期的通货膨胀率。 Core CPI同比增长3.3％，比预测的3.1％高。总体CPI每年增长3％，略高于2.9％的预测
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# J, Z! d1 j5 H这促使投资者调整了他们的前景，将预期的美联储税率从9月到12月提高。随着比特币与交易者重新调整头寸的恢复，最初的市场不确定性让位。( C' L5 f1 D9 y6 Y
& c2 w0 E7 @" n1 CCPI跟踪典型的商品和服务篮子的价格变化，提供每月通货膨胀措施。相比之下，生产商价格指数（PPI）跟踪了批发价格在吸引消费者之前的变化，为政策制定者和商人提供了其他线索。
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鲍威尔在政策方向上发表讲话, \( E* R# |, k) Z
美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）解决了通货膨胀关注在他的半年度货币政策报告中。他指出，尽管存在进展，但通货膨胀仍然是一个固执的问题。 4 h& Y; A( C7 R3 c' G$ l
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鲍威尔说，政策必须暂时保持紧密，从而加强了美联储的谨慎态度。美联储的报告将财务状况描述为“有些限制”，未来的决定依靠经济数据。
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在众议院金融服务委员会之前的延长问答中，鲍威尔对通货膨胀，利率路径和经济预测提出了质疑。立法者要求澄清即将到来的美国政策如何塑造经济状况。 2 @. P) {, `! N" V9 q
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最新的劳动力市场数据，包括1月份的非农业工资（NFP）增加143,000下划线美联储的平衡行为。尽管低于预期，但劳工统计局（BLS）提出了以前的NFP数字，指向更强大的劳动力市场。
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比特币的集会反映了市场情绪
% W' R1 N. d* H _4 y截至发稿时，比特币在$96,229.94在过去24小时内上涨0.06％。然而，过去一周下降了2.51％。" c) y# X7 e! z. f$ q, }" x
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