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[lastpost] => 2784858 分析师警告——比特币不太可能在2025年出现“圣诞行情”（转） 1768646627 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，
/ q6 a, F3 x$ h: q/ t但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！
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8 J _3 E$ G# Y在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。! U& v$ E$ ^3 w) d
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一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。# |3 R& I3 }0 Q- Z
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我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，$ u, i) B2 t) S6 ~3 V
) v7 v9 P( M _6 Z) X4 t9 Z一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。! j; ^' V( U, _! G! o T# `2 h5 G
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山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最
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* b0 C8 n2 O% E/ B) i! S高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。
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' |6 L5 A* ], c. J$ O4 D( V Y( S, N目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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. ]1 p: `7 I7 J# g. w+ U离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。
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总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下( e$ h! Y) h% i0 J+ q: M+ K3 U5 F) z
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半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：! K' d' Q1 ?4 y
& `( h' ~7 ~ p8 }* O& H1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。
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2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。' C i6 F- d' _' T
- Z) R9 r1 @! H+ E3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态
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0 G: T! M: E1 B2 z, x4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。
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& c: H& C4 A1 Y, N* ?0 V5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE
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