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[lastpost] => 2806174 Shiba Inu (SHIB) 跌至 2023 年以来的最低水平；加密货币市场仍逊于黄金（转） 1772446901 我也来辣
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。7 F7 @2 i" h& K* @/ |. C
* L9 C: ]) S, [3 }# K9 _ 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。$ e+ r; [1 c( v K
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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/ z3 ^4 ]# A; y* a/ j7 z 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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$ a5 C% k# w; m/ r9 _6 q+ q: Z r4 k 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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7 X+ i) q$ W* ^框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。/ A6 _ Z: c) n" |: x
& h; }6 O- _( T3 X4 j# b8 Q* V `. V “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在3 Y; D7 l" i8 H1 R/ R1 T( n
/ t( b- D) q% j积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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% i! B/ y, U1 r' S/ b0 X# \5 a 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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]% q7 L7 S. z( ?. |( h3 [ 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。' D& D) U4 t, R% U$ U, a0 \
3 }& e" V7 g; Y% d) { 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。, G7 T+ n Y# C- D! G6 `& T
) e: G+ j) G/ ` 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。7 F* R( t: y6 k2 ?
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，/ d" S" ?$ l0 G9 ]% O8 j
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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