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世界杯火热,各类菠菜彩票也卖得火热,会不会像电影小说里那样,黑心庄家靠操控比赛来赚彩民的血汗钱?
* B- J" }$ Y' D# X; |7 n, L5 W) X# E6 \( Z
菠菜公司大声喊冤:我们设定赔率可是巨资请专家团队来做的,准确率一般都超过60%。! _6 A* t4 s. s8 S
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还要运用巨型计算机和大量数学模型,根据各种因素计算出比赛结果,绝无操控一说。 U5 G' {: J! k4 O
但实际上,菠菜公司赚钱根本不用那么费劲。例如某天意大利和英格兰对战,菠菜公司收到给意大利下注12万,给英格兰下注10万。如果意大利获胜,押对意大利的彩民除了拿回12万本金外,菠菜公司给予的奖金必须控制在10万元以内才不会赔钱,即赔率不能超过0.83,反过来对英格兰的赔率不能超过1.2。
+ s3 a2 i; Y4 j* d( K
3 G) l! a% L3 {' ]' [9 \ 而实际上菠菜公司为了保证盈利还会将赔率调的更低,一般设定意大利赔率为0.77,英格兰赔率为1.14。- {* I9 B) N+ Y/ C+ n! g
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菠菜公司盈利的秘诀就在于要经常根据投注额的变化调整赔率,过去这有点难度,但现在通过网络随时掌握各种投注数据,修正赔率就成了轻而易举的事情。
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对万众瞩目的重点赛事,操控比赛结果风险远大于收益。但在一些非重点赛事上,假球司空常见,赌球集团的势力更是大的惊人。8 ?7 a0 [1 B" V$ Y- @4 t
8 O: T" h8 i# z8 R/ I5 k 例如2008年欧洲赌球案就涉及9个国家200场足球比赛,而背后黑手就是亚洲赌球集团。
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( [- r: q R% e6 }1 K" L 2009年克罗地亚杯决赛首回合被bao光遭到操控,亚洲庄家牟利1400万欧元。
" }9 d, W# d" r/ H# f
. W! ]8 X3 h1 n" l& c. O o 由于亚洲赌球公司技术太高明,不少欧洲菠菜公司现在都对亚洲盘口高度关注,甚至要跟着调整自己的赔率呢。! ^# S. J& G& f% W4 |
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