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这两天市场迎来大反弹，可以明显感受到大家情绪也都回来了，仿佛得到释放一样，有人回本有人盈利，有的人还在祈祷多涨点... ' m) P7 b' {3 j4 L
不过这都是题外话，多日的横盘已经磨光了很多人的耐心。郁积的情绪无处发泄。不淡定的朋友开始吵架、斗嘴，为了后市的看多看空争个高下。 5 S$ V9 u1 P% B
我们先来看市场面，根据美联储5月会议公布的计划，”缩表”将于6月1日正式开始，这次“缩表”的节奏是上一轮的两倍，其影响不可忽视。
. `: b: J0 r7 D0 q9 Q) E9 \0 Q+ ]" F美联储缩表的本质：减少各类资产的购入，从而稳定美联储现金流的过程，或者把它各类资产卖掉、从变现增加其现金流的过程。 : p1 u& l( }4 W% j' G
缩表对币圈有何影响 . i, A4 Q% H' g+ B: v
上轮缩表给金融市场带来的短期波动有限。美股延续整体震荡向上的趋势；美债收益率维持高位，期间受到国际贸易摩擦等事件的影响，走势出现波折；美元指数跟随美债收益率高位震荡，但并无大涨行情出现。 $ X& G. H4 L Q: `0 l$ b8 v
然而，当前的经济金融环境与上次缩表大有不同。首先，通胀的上行风险更大。上轮QT期间，美国通胀增速在2％的目标水平附近徘徊，美联储抗击通胀的压力相对较小。美国2月通胀增速已高达7.9％，且俄乌冲突导致通胀前景加剧恶化。鲍威尔也承认，通胀上升幅度比预期更大且更持久。
! J2 L2 Z8 p5 L% o7 r1 }: [此外，美债的利率环境与上次出现了明显差异。在通胀率持续飙升以及紧缩预期不断强化的提振下，不同期限美债收益率出现了不同程度的上行，美债收益率曲线平淡化趋势强化，多个部分出现倒挂。市场对经济衰退的担忧此起彼伏，在次情况下，美国本轮紧缩周期估计会较上一轮明显缩短。
; h7 ^, D* J! v4 M; B5 G- _; r缩表或将推动美债长端利率进一步上行，使得国际资本回流美国。 ' \3 v% L" H# g0 R3 F
钱就像水一样，装在不同的池子里面，股池，房池，七七八八的池子，现在又多了一个币池。加息的情况就是希望水都流进政府的池子里。那其它池子里面的水就变少了，自己市场里水池的水变少了，投资总额就少了。那股市怎么走，币市怎么走，还是需要谨慎关注些！
7 B9 Y; j8 o7 T$ D; Z5 o+ t下面我们来看看一则重要新闻
9 [* T3 W! v$ C6 l公链 Waves 已推出「Waves DeFi 复兴计划」
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WAVES这几天的表现不得不说很亮眼，但是就有人问了，WAVES为什么同样是脱锚，前几天也是跌的不行，为什么没有走Luna的老路，反而行情反弹之后就简单暴力顺着大盘直接上去了呢？ & v/ U; Z! y! o g# h+ {: L
我们接着往下看 . s4 _, X0 y6 E" ?2 {
Waves是layer 1公链，链上应用主要为稳定币、储蓄、交易所和外汇兑换。项目愿景为将区块链应用到证券、众筹、法币转账等金融以及泛金融的领域，从而打造一条金融公链。
9 N! I/ v0 _/ }6 h; {俄乌战争把Waves推向巅峰之后一直一蹶不振，但是Waves 旗下企业级服务平台 WavesEnterprise 多年来一直和很多俄罗斯的工业资产公司进行合作，业务方面涉及企业级和政务级，大到工业资产的转移，小到办公财产的记录，承接这种业务的能力目前只有 WavesEnterprise |
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