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数据显示，比特币与美国股市的相关性最近一直保持在高位，因为它在上周有所增加。 9 B/ D' `. Y0 t6 h/ X
/ j9 v. x- S9 B2 s
过去一周比特币与股市的相关性略有增长7 y X7 S, a8 F, u' g
根据Arcane Research的最新周报，BTC 与 NASDAQ 和 S&P 500 的相关性目前处于 0.5 以上的高位。 8 Y$ z3 v. o! Z& p% @% L6 l
这里的“相关性”是衡量另一种资产价格变化如何影响比特币价格的指标。
) Y! D- y7 X+ e: `% Q指标值高于零表明目前加密货币与资产之间存在正相关关系。这意味着 BTC 目前正朝着与资产相同的方向发展。 * G: e' @3 h5 W4 \* `% z, c
另一方面，负相关值意味着加密货币通过向相反方向移动来响应资产价格的变化。
9 I. Z" \$ g- b$ A) g此外，指标的值高于零/低于零，比特币与资产的相关性越强。 , [+ U/ }4 W7 b# ^, i
现在，这张图表显示了自 2021 年 1 月以来比特币与纳斯达克、标准普尔 500 指数和黄金的相关性如何变化： ' g- z9 C& j; d; d! @: i- ]
目前看来黄金和BTC之间没有太大的相关性 $ K' x) B4 E) Q% R1 G; b
正如您在上图中所见，比特币与美国股票纳斯达克和标准普尔 500 指数的相关性几个月来一直很高。 ; `7 P) Q) t6 m
早在 5 月份，该指标就达到了 0.8 左右的峰值。但不久之后，由于Terra USD 崩盘，加密市场与股票分开崩盘，因此相关性下降。 * [) K5 h; \* V, H" M. V0 @
然而，随着 6 月份 CPI 报告的发布，随着投资者撤出 BTC 等资产以管理风险，相关性再次开始上升。 5 L; n. u: R* a1 w* ?. T( a# A
此后一段时间，由于多家贷款公司倒闭，加密市场的不确定性增加，导致相关性再次出现小幅下降。 0 T) Z' x( V7 D7 [! r: C
该报告指出，随着特定于加密货币的不确定性得到解决，相关性应该会恢复上升趋势。在过去一周中，该指标的值已经略有增加。
5 N/ p" ]2 M+ l; s3 E最新的 CPI 报告也在昨天发布，显示过去一个月通货膨胀率上升了 9.1%。就像上一份报告一样，这份报告也可以进一步推动比特币与股市的相关性。 7 W- h( m& @6 p6 S
BTC 价格& n1 F: M! w2 ~3 {% U2 s
在撰写本文时，比特币的价格在 2.02 万美元左右浮动，过去一周下跌了 3%。下图显示了过去五天代币价格的趋势。 8 {3 m- W9 T* [ G* e8 E
加密货币的价格似乎在过去一天飙升 ' s9 ?* u" W. ]9 c3 U- E3 L Y
来源：金色财经 |
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