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[lastpost] => 2750219 【星宝】7月18日投注流水2100元 1752841047 心随你动
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小分3种情况:8 y- l; a {% j- ?+ v! c$ ^
# J6 A0 L* o. A- n1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。9 j: @& Z! R# W' o2 Z: b6 p
6 D) L- _9 G- A$ A& E
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。8 |1 `* h2 J) k. I! K" n8 X2 ~, m
: a( R- K3 I% Q# m# |6 q- U* [3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。. h; H+ w! |# I3 Z+ ^, L* J) r5 t8 `& X
0 }. e. P/ K* {: m$ c2张牌8或9点的情况有:0 w# @9 A6 p3 ^" R% z
6 t( R4 _! R+ u: x4 l' p! I7 [$ s
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
8 j3 y( W! e1 v/ s4 y% ?, G' A* _; K; E' i* c9 C# l# N
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4152 w6 V0 j s# K% H) B) m
) X. F( ^1 z1 ~6 j' R4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
/ e1 B- C6 o( Q9 d# g7 V; C8 d
+ T9 i0 y# c. I- R- V# S8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
+ Z( `) b; T ^% U q/ j' \8 E3 d- b7 h$ R9 M
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。# }% H7 ?: k8 s' i0 a" u
( f# ^0 A) B2 P4 ^+ w通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。/ y) |. k* A+ r+ L' n4 p
' s( w6 u0 Y: h" l) d& K: B那么我们可以得出$ |5 P- g" ?" ^6 Y
& t0 k3 O6 |2 J" D$ L1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
8 c/ `$ V0 S( @( @5 O$ }
6 M. @) F5 |( ?" g; p$ c! L2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 / ?: }; R" o, O8 g4 w d
: S; W+ H% h8 D. r- W, y3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
( q; R4 _" e; J" A1 w! k8 B) r
& y5 ?! P5 Z6 R所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
9 S; f6 j1 |% u! O1 _4 S; m
, f0 y0 T. _7 m5 i* h3 U百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.6211306777 x! c. F+ J. d& }/ h
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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