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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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: o$ O! p: O1 j5 u$ n美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明! @# B+ ]1 |& H
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
A+ M1 @: [& N, h. w4 k且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。9 l$ `! S1 `3 s9 z
官员预计：2024将降息3次$ N) d3 }; M4 w$ ?* e
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
2 Y. V/ e. y6 \' h度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也' D# {) o8 M$ q# ^6 ^
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
+ v; ` Z8 m6 z0 G( t+ K, t3 N主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
1 j6 C) x# V0 `4 z2 O7 I走高。9 ?) x3 S( h }. [: X5 l% h
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
! O5 i! t: [0 @) f# e( w解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。* ^( H- i! g [; X
比特币冲破4.3万 w! o; r& Q) E
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。0 \, o% H) w4 ?. g7 d; o' W
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
& ^1 M( M2 v# E2 A1 B9 z以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
7 o% N' [ I& d5 S- v美股四大指数齐扬
4 `9 S' H/ F- d/ g: D8 o) j& u0 x回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：- S' ?2 F2 e$ a- L: B
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
1 W/ R c# M4 a4 @2 R2 }纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点1 H( N9 @1 t) [' l$ A4 g) |
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点1 D" O; a) P9 `+ o* Y
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点' `; |- G( G; t8 Q
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
/ s" k: H, Z# e$ B% Q另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
% k' x9 L! S. r6 _) c# ?6 _5 e' Z) E被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
# u O5 H' K( }# x, |% O, l R跌到更接近3%水平。
) d9 ~6 `5 u* g3 z b% H" D6 {* y; Y
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