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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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9 { p, t6 X; [! M% n1 T" O
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
' F* c" E! u2 p& L1 e中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。3 u1 x# e% X0 ^' T1 i" A5 b3 B
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
# C6 n. {; A% [! _% r- s1 J; r官员预计：2024将降息3次
8 C- j9 [, I4 L2 q, a2 q) x虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季/ N2 r. ]) _) z! i8 @
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也+ h7 l% ]9 p2 S1 O( w: O/ L
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
/ R1 e4 s/ o) n) P( T2 v主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅6 c4 d4 H7 ]- Y' x' Y j" w
走高。4 _7 U3 R7 P! m: r/ V3 ]
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓. W$ p0 m( Y) |/ U5 d, e
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。! M$ ?# \% n* q8 e6 j
比特币冲破4.3万
0 s3 d- {9 i! t9 _) n受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
3 {+ D0 N b. r0 S! |2 Y截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。) a! L; u7 F! q$ w/ V
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
; N/ t5 j2 q d! o8 N美股四大指数齐扬
* ] c# Z0 c5 q回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：+ X7 E: n+ |8 v0 T3 Q
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点2 j$ V& u$ [: i1 Z
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点* D- Z( k9 g1 \) [. P& J
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点/ `* Z. J( _1 |9 {3 a) J
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点$ f1 F/ U1 Z& e: x$ Y, W) A
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%/ H' [0 {( t/ l8 O8 N
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。! G8 o5 p0 b$ x1 ~2 D9 m
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将" U- R' c- i9 Q( Q$ @6 k3 T
跌到更接近3%水平。4 `: J* t0 Z6 _8 t" ~, C# t
7 Z7 w/ h' h3 V8 E, F: P
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