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[lastpost] => 2809204 比特币做市商如何将一次例行调整演变成向 6 万美元的暴跌（转） 1772684393 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
2 q, L; O0 ]) B" Y0 g; a) Y/ p& R8 C3 L1 d: @
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
% O5 T7 z' ~4 u- B% G: J/ W) Y链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当+ B' [ O0 q, I9 l1 X4 M- ?. R
* [9 l; R# ~3 P, k
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场6 D' R Y' O/ A6 F
1 n! ^2 R$ c$ }* }' u$ f, q
处于健康的看涨状态。5 n$ X n( W7 T& }$ o% |5 O& v
4 {5 \; D6 f7 |1 N, k7 D3 YAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬 ~3 Y5 q0 \6 y9 s* e3 \0 O
8 z* N, v$ @4 v7 P2 t" t3 ?
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF: ^/ t8 z2 [1 \# o
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获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。' a( T* B2 i, N. e/ h+ b# x
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AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
9 ~: T: I' [( w# d; |
: o/ y; [% P0 ~( P1 ~2 x- wCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提: @: B2 d% n6 ]/ R& ~
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
7 q9 L: R% G, E: O2 \8 G& \1 |, o0 E% K- d8 m7 \& N: c
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
8 Z+ {+ j. g# @0 p0 Y) N7 Q: I* c/ q3 w9 o/ Y& ^! h# q
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强1 i9 v* G6 x. i- r9 Y0 x
8 ?/ |9 _! m9 Q1 {5 X9 g+ D$ K4 v劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。) I, c$ F6 g: q0 }5 F! o
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然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF( N1 u: H4 P5 x% d' B V* [& y
1 ]1 R! @7 b6 M申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
7 H% i) Z! t1 A$ P, ^, z+ }
& S" E# D1 x" Q3 l) \1 h虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
, ]+ @& a; s$ \: d3 T: I4 G% L5 \3 @$ E O1 S1 k! L" E
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
" R2 p* c+ d. p
) u! i5 d/ `1 _2 q1 l绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
1 S: W6 t- h: j0 m, g+ T# O: G) U% a! t7 ?5 g9 l
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
# S- a- c1 ~) ^( X: @
% b7 i; m9 ]- X- H% @( F5 S% M6 F' n7 Q) i* @- R$ h4 K* j
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的7 K, g6 ?$ q( P1 _6 g/ s" I- m
3 Q: M% }4 s+ R1 W, l& w
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
5 @3 ?: T4 ?% g4 P2 s( X: u
* R+ j* j& P5 X, |1 S0 S
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