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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
' h6 M) N$ s2 {3 H, w: \ y/ c+ B( f8 A' ]% K9 _% A% p! X' U
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。 w ]0 y% |& w6 j) C
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当' _. k' _- {5 B- j% W# d2 J3 J/ x9 l
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
' s: `6 l5 j) i0 [! ~# y1 q$ Y7 ~
* b& B4 M+ v% V/ {8 L g处于健康的看涨状态。8 E6 G% ?& [9 S
) ?! v2 D" l: b# r- F0 vAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬4 ?) Y6 g4 _+ L* w: R5 V4 y
1 J b# ^/ W9 F7 K5 q) v短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
5 l# W5 w7 @. i1 {5 R5 W$ t9 \9 N! w' J" a! b# Y& C# f+ |' {0 c
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
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AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
$ C6 |$ L4 ~0 I5 @; t2 k$ ~$ [8 ~# {4 j3 d! E8 Z* G
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提/ x% P5 v! m! W( ]! P) H
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。% Q% K/ G4 b8 s5 c2 y
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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+ P8 J4 a- R( c低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
1 g+ ~: N0 V! t2 N: {! l' m) d3 C' ~, |+ L s5 K
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
7 e, N; P' w! N. g4 y" ~
6 D+ a u( J& V2 o M( R8 _然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF% i( D; V2 e' F* C6 f0 \% X
! x& x/ d+ h8 V0 k8 B) `2 i申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。3 {% u. F) n8 _9 ~8 R
4 k* k( M5 q: `
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
6 x; X! J y. S$ T% X
- v' e( p: ^$ g3 T! U8 tNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
3 r8 b( U' i, D/ n, Y+ [, r* ^$ k3 |
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法) J1 r$ W9 W' P v% N; U
. b) g6 I/ h- c7 n* e2 v2 F& }5 y" U @
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
+ S5 {# P% t; A# f0 {, ~3 _3 o0 y4 [) R" C7 F7 G( @
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的' A# v1 I# R: c/ ]2 ~
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关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。8 W( Y; C" C6 Y9 |
" [7 L4 H- j, _% F$ w$ v8 t
# k$ E- e/ `. X; }% O
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