×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 19927
[posts] => 286903
[todayposts] => 412
[yesterdayposts] => 351
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2650702 比特币稳步回升 站稳6.5万美元 市场多空交锋激烈 (转) 1716031075 万家灯火
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12069 小时
本月在线: 27 小时
|
|
首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的
6 S2 U/ L6 o1 Y; Q7 r2 c9 N
3 W1 k% g% ^- L: Y总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,6 C) n- o {5 y; @" A; j" S1 l8 n+ o
* M, X( k8 p* r& ^5 C4 z. \
方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。; r, k# }% b; h: v3 M4 V
: _* H \: A$ |! f/ k
1 m! \* z, s, h$ ?' J, }1 l$ ]
! \( N6 U A8 _' [) l 牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,8 c5 b/ I3 }4 b: R7 {& @
# G# V& Y& r$ ] x m# D0 K
Fidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天3 N* V. U* @5 \' s( D- P/ a
( k' b. h: b2 A) l& w' \
内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF# n2 M* p& I$ T
6 V% \6 S5 g9 D# D; k' I宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿
4 b2 i H& e1 C" E# Y0 m! C6 d* v
; k8 j* D& C7 O" p5 X枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到5 c1 M" c: t; b$ t% i
6 u) X1 O2 j5 j( bk线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成
( w6 x3 j& f: @/ i+ `2 H
) F9 n* d- x5 t震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死
4 S: H9 d2 x9 C9 Y- x9 D s- j1 m
+ i, G3 w( G e. z0 n叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
$ S) m3 ~! g3 n. t
' O. F' c2 N' Q* M( W9 l避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确8 ~. C3 r& r) k2 {3 G9 p2 @
1 d& _2 t/ s: R8 A- o4 Y" ]2 o定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时4 }( a# R- l( O* {5 B+ U& m% N1 _- H7 g
9 @$ Z# `4 {- ?
间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认& u! s- ~" o( P! `
" ^% K7 A0 S/ E `: _为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。, e, r B! f( b @
1 Y" ~: k* m2 o$ F4 H4 `( z# J4 k+ Y1 k从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
- h# ]2 Z" m2 n& U. d1 z7 p
+ n6 h% t X6 e% `4 q0 E" x,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑8 n' X6 S7 _* r" S7 g- ^8 L
* z* X/ c& G! O$ d+ R0 v位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,
- A. m7 ^* t! h" A) m3 r4 _% W6 I2 R! i, t4 V
EMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。, Z/ ?, U8 Q, ^0 E2 s
+ r9 Z; ?% M7 f; A3 D1 q ?
考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,0 Q5 N) w# Z/ t$ o+ [ S3 ]
2 ?; l8 J9 E2 D( [认为比特币至少会去次6万。- X: d, ~0 \9 Y X; G$ @
|
|
|
|
|
|
|