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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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1 z; G9 V2 m& e; { X* z 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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( x/ y B$ m$ U; r; f研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。# M$ M0 e. n. N9 f, z7 q& `
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在0 u9 |# c6 m. E
/ }9 N8 m; N$ b# Z! @! `8 l# k刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代 k: ~6 X- x7 a5 d
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币待分配。! A8 e2 W- h/ x1 r/ ]. Y2 D
1 w$ j1 y% q J- \$ Z0 k“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。# g6 b7 `# x5 ]8 u7 F# @8 b, e
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5 c6 K/ b% f; R% G% q& f4 {7 F4 g/ `流动性减弱& T1 c6 O5 [% v* X+ ?$ H
7 C+ H' [; R [0 _4 t除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在% N0 _% U8 L: |* p
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报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。2 n' h. s8 A3 h/ T. E- k
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