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[lastpost] => 2691034 比特币两次冲刺9万美元失败，暴跌即将来袭？（转） 1731501094 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
所有人都在关注CPI和美联储，比特币是否会出现回调？（转）
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特朗普获胜后，投资者的看涨势头使比特币（BTC）历史上首次突破81000美元大关。上涨不仅限于BTC，狗狗币（DOGE）和卡尔达诺（ADA）等主要山寨币在过去7天分别上涨了87%和73%。预计本周即将发生的关键事件，CPI通胀数据和美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话，可能会动摇交易员的情绪。- z K0 u5 t# C" h
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关注CPI、PPI+ `$ l! u7 J/ N
本周将于周二发布欧佩克月度报告，随后是美国10月CPI通胀数据美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于周三（11月13日）公布数据。随着通胀的缓解，预计整体CPI和核心CPI将分别下降0.2%和0.3%。这可能会阻碍美联储的降息，并影响BTC的反弹。2 t% W' i6 d% l
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上个月CPI为2.4%，低于此前的高点。这反映了通胀稳步降温，高于预期的CPI数据将预示着通胀持续存在。
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, b6 W9 v# l! v% t" L& s5 b- u, V4 [周四（11月14日），劳工部将公布初步申请失业救济人数上周首次申请失业救济人数小幅上升至22.1万人，美联储最近的降息反映出对就业市场疲软的担忧。这是美国就业健康状况的一个关键指标，更高的申请人数可能表明经济衰退的风险。然而，索赔减少表明经济稳定。* D4 L1 K6 G' M! M# U
6 y! h8 E+ }- a# F, N周五（11月15日）的PPI报告将揭示该地区的生产者水平通胀。这里的飙升意味着生产成本的上升，这可能会影响加密货币挖矿的能源和硬件费用。与此同时，PPI的上升可能对BTC和市场不利。
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零售销售数据预计将在同一天公布。它将揭示消费者支出趋势，强劲的零售报告将表明经济的弹性。根据预测，10月份0.3%的增长将预示着消费需求的稳定。0 z( c* S w: _
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比特币期权飙升
/ @( h5 Z; `7 M( q6 M5 t由于加密货币市场与宏观趋势密切相关，每次数据发布都会带来潜在的波动。Bitcoin在一波支持加密货币的候选人在美国大选中取得胜利的推动下，比特币价格连续创下历史新高，超过8.1万美元。期货溢价飙升，暗示投资者对市场充满信心。$ H- R2 S$ x# q8 i- D
( V+ g/ Q) n& Z+ A% h c- @6 @恐惧与贪婪指数描绘了市场上76点的“极度贪婪”。全球加密货币市值在过去一天又上涨了2%，达到2.76万亿美元。其24小时交易量飙升71%，达到2280亿美元。
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Deribit上超过9万美元的比特币期货未平仓合约飙升至28亿美元以上。比特币和以太坊的芝加哥商品交易所期货溢价在选举后达到14%，比选举前的水平翻了一番。这一跳跃表明对看涨期权的需求很高，这显然是一种看涨立场 ；
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a2 L5 z/ k! [比特币价格在过去的7天里上涨了18%。截至发稿时，BTC的平均交易价格为81159美元。它的24小时交易量增长了65%，达到779亿美元。! a- r* {2 |8 c$ m7 L
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