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[lastpost] => 2810860 比特币今日价格:中东冲突引发避险情绪,跌至6.6万美元（转） 1772503783 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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6 Z6 N) W5 |* ], i7 @4 w* D 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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- u! a: c1 I7 p! [: ~ 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。6 _) E$ S! g7 v9 s, G
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8 l8 Z3 E) K8 ~) C/ N9 n 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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, |" |* _/ b0 _5 Z6 B$ c/ B 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。* a9 i+ K9 o1 o) f4 o# z0 T
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。8 ?) F" |1 t' B
5 o1 S+ v' f7 W 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，8 v* Y6 c5 k) o& J8 e! B7 o4 T/ o
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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$ Z; w3 u' m( E( n! j “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间- s3 B/ M2 p% i
$ R5 ^0 N" @7 p框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”3 Z8 S v! K8 M. {0 Q, n d; X/ b
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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1 W: W$ @- |7 \ “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”, u2 l8 {1 d! D& Q1 }
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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; i& ^2 P# V% D L 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势! Z! e8 B- x3 ?% ?; J
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。/ X% O6 k' J, K. S
0 v6 ~; S0 t' d- Z' v$ L: z 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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; q) Z r. p5 u& r# \ 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，" o! H4 Q" e. D; D& M5 F5 n
$ y- o* f6 @9 n. O0 z- A$ b市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”$ s( H2 j+ H2 \ ]! N
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