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[lastpost] => 2809710 今日虚拟币市场又是大多数下跌了 1772184559 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。7 p2 W: j0 N0 D: e& A6 e3 C$ J+ k
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
- W. j( v" a% A; o' X$ o1 H* H0 a越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
. l# N6 L" ?8 w, H% q你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。' x2 ^$ Z! t) _# b* v1 P2 Z
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。# s6 G2 U4 W3 o2 F( h6 x( d ?
alt/btc
% `; X$ W% z2 C( `" J* e! Aalt/usdt
" s3 ]4 a8 a9 s9 _那么，发生了什么？9 B! T- B* q& f# _' a% G# g4 z6 R
1. 大户轮换资金9 g+ P- ^$ }9 l1 X
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
1 X' `" \2 L1 ]这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
* V) T6 }+ q% K7 y2 L但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。$ l& q2 _# X1 f
2. 市场的防御心理
4 D; @1 ? Z' B( i& C! b$ C: S投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。+ Y c, q3 k! l( K1 s7 C( C
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。- p* N. K5 p, S8 G* \, [
3. 需要关注的信号
3 N9 ?( ~3 L: b3 ^BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。" ]" \# A h( p* n& c c# Z& E: U/ E) _
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
; F2 z* m% q' i4 @8 ]& [4 g! DUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
! f6 j* L6 k7 v4. 对投资者的意义
/ m: q6 W: B# U: o在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
. Z& L6 Q4 z7 s* A$ ?! K! j, i如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。: n9 c4 Q% O/ e$ A6 w
安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
; j+ B# L) \# _9 r2 y5 u$ [结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
3 e: v0 j. C$ s5 n5 k* u* |#加密货币#
6 ]+ k1 V& d5 A, A) T b2 b3 J& O, S A* v4 @# S
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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