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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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1#
以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲 ( f& ]2 I+ h% E
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只跟踪一个联赛
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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔0 ~& u2 c9 H6 X) k. r
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三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，* s& q2 {3 ]3 [+ {# r
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偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。
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方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）/ Z2 Q! t% w( c6 ]- f! S5 q
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然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，9 n9 T# a9 B/ F- c
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱
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3 r0 ]1 B) p. w. y! W' y. L, i8 T4 S当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目4 U2 z- z* }% C2 z- c: j, O
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亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，
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" n8 f& C* _2 j$ r2 E但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。% v7 ~" j$ S  O, |+ j
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理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。
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排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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2#
以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，
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但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，
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3 J% V7 U. U  R9 _6 z这比买国债存银行合算。
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6 w" G$ n9 ^: P; A0 Y在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，
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- _8 i* g5 f  G2 x' n8 B; M9 z几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。
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" R( Q* \5 k% x2 _- A' j, X常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。" ^- ~: \3 P/ {* r

( B4 ^1 g8 w  D% x- ^放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，3 o) ?& }/ n! b7 u" W/ h8 Q

5 ]( a" u6 l0 t4 K就是回避了大的亏损，$ U9 a* g: @8 P( z

$ ^7 W, B2 n# N& Y% A大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，$ @( V# v5 b5 W' z% C. ^1 M; B

$ k& ^) m! b+ Q" Y$ C; V回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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3#
学习一下，天天进步

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4#
顶起再慢慢看

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